NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	5.7 [632]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +15.3%
Houston Rockets	80		Comeback	1.0 [953]		LVP	Rodrick Rhodes (HOU): -18.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	9	95%	0.19	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	56%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.07
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	11	38%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.02	12	56%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	23	58%	0.06	6	-0.19	9	89%	0.02
Matt Bullard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	9	46%	-0.06	4	-0.13	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	21.4	15.6	28.3	1.7	38.2	130.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.5%

HOU -1.1%

IND +0.1%

IND +7.8%

IND +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.6	93.5	86.0	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		105.3	104.5
opponent	15.2	16.1		105.7	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	15.0	14.7	14.6	14.9
HOU	16.1	16.3	16.7	15.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	53	53	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	14.2	15.8	-1.65	16.0	16.2	-0.25
Antonio Davis	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	-1	9	14.0	16.8	-2.76	15.9	16.6	-0.66
Reggie Miller	56	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	3	1	15.6	13.7	1.88	15.8	16.5	-0.67
Mark Jackson	55	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.22	2	5	-3	15.3	14.2	1.10	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Austin Croshere	31	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-2	11	14.2	15.2	-1.05	17.3	15.5	1.79
Travis Best	38	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	2	3	14.2	15.3	-1.10	16.2	16.1	0.08
Fred Hoiberg	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	4	-1	13.7	15.6	-1.88	16.5	15.8	0.67
Derrick McKey	55	53	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.33	-6	13	-19	16.0	13.2	2.88	15.5	16.9	-1.43
Rik Smits	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	4	-1	15.2	14.6	0.55	16.3	16.0	0.37
Chris Mullin	40	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	15.8	14.2	1.65	16.2	16.0	0.25

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Jones	9	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-5	3	16.6	16.1	0.50	16.4	14.7	1.70
Matt Maloney	39	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-5	3	17.4	15.2	2.24	14.4	15.2	-0.86
Othella Harrington	66	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-8	9	16.5	15.2	1.30	15.6	13.0	2.60
Mario Elie	72	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-7	7	15.9	16.9	-1.03	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Emanual Davis	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-7	7	15.6	16.5	-0.89	15.2	14.6	0.60
Kevin Willis	79	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-8	9	15.9	17.4	-1.56	14.9	14.4	0.51
Brent Price	53	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	0	-7	15.2	17.3	-2.09	15.4	14.2	1.20
Rodrick Rhodes	63	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	1	-9	16.4	15.6	0.80	14.3	16.0	-1.66
Matt Bullard	45	44	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	11	-29	16.3	16.0	0.31	13.8	15.8	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.22,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.4%
CLE 87, CHH 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.3%
POR 105, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	94.1%