NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	5.6 [679]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +23.4%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	1.0 [280]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NYK): -10.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.08	0.01	13	79%	0.29	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	83%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	78%	0.12	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	19	52%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Victor Claver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	19	43%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.07

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.12	0.12	0.30	-0.04	0.14	24	73%	0.18	2	-0.06	14	86%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	22	56%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.3	29.4	17.5	24.7	2.4	42.2	144.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.1%

POR +2.0%

POR +14.8%

NYK -10.8%

POR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.4	114.1	107.5	104.1
season	15.8	16.2		104.3	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.7	14.3	16.5	14.3	15.6
NYK	15.0	18.5	17.0	12.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	36	38	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-5	15	14.2	16.5	-2.32	14.5	16.2	-1.74
Damian Lillard	76	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	0	5	15.7	15.4	0.28	15.8	14.5	1.29
Victor Claver	21	22	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-4	13	16.1	15.5	0.63	14.2	15.9	-1.76
Ronnie Price	37	38	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	2	1	14.2	16.5	-2.28	15.9	15.3	0.62
Nicolas Batum	76	76	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.40	-6	11	-17	16.3	12.4	3.84	15.0	17.9	-2.88
Wesley Matthews	57	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	4	-3	15.5	15.7	-0.22	15.9	15.0	0.89
Jared Jeffries	30	29	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	3	-1	15.6	15.6	0.04	14.7	15.9	-1.27
JJ Hickson	42	44	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	-1	7	16.5	14.8	1.68	18.4	13.0	5.43
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	75	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.39	-8	13	-21	15.8	14.9	0.89	14.7	18.9	-4.24
Will Barton	9	9	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	2	1	14.6	15.7	-1.17	17.6	15.3	2.25

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	18	16	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-12	19	18.6	14.8	3.76	15.6	15.6	-0.06
Ronnie Brewer	20	21	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	17.3	15.0	2.26	17.6	15.0	2.60
Chris Copeland	14	13	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	18.9	14.9	4.00	13.4	16.0	-2.59
Jason Kidd	64	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.37	10	-15	25	15.1	16.5	-1.44	15.6	15.5	0.13
Kurt Thomas	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	0	-5	17.0	15.4	1.57	22.1	15.1	7.07
Tyson Chandler	64	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-4	3	15.1	16.4	-1.34	16.4	13.8	2.54
Amar'e Stoudemire	32	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	4	-13	16.5	15.0	1.48	15.6	15.6	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.40	1	-6	7	14.9	18.9	-4.00	15.8	14.5	1.28
Steve Novak	43	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	9	-23	15.6	15.4	0.19	14.1	16.8	-2.71
J.R. Smith	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	14.9	19.2	-4.31	15.0	19.1	-4.04
Pablo Prigioni	45	43	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	5	-15	14.8	16.2	-1.32	15.2	15.9	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, VAN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MEM 96, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.1,0	94.5%
CHI 91, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.4%