NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	5.5 [689]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +8.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	100		Comeback	1.1 [583]		LVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): -13.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	78%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Clyde Drexler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	13	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Matt Bullard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Mario Elie	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	71%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	17	51%	0.01	2	-0.03	17	53%	-0.04
Tracy Moore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Steve Scheffler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.02	18	64%	0.02	5	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	57%	-0.03	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	16	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	8	43%	-0.04	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.5	1.8	28.3	15.7	27.2	1.7	33.2	140.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +47.8%

HOU +4.1%

SEA -4.9%

HOU +1.6%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	17.1	14.3	15.6	117.2	111.1	104.4
season	15.5	14.9		107.2	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.4		100.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	17.3	16.0	19.0	17.1
SEA	14.8	16.1	12.2	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	80	78	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	17.2	16.8	0.32	14.4	13.7	0.74
Mario Elie	58	57	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-4	17	17.5	16.4	1.11	14.2	14.4	-0.18
Clyde Drexler	78	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-1	11	17.9	13.0	4.91	14.1	15.4	-1.24
Hakeem Olajuwon	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	4	1	17.7	15.1	2.66	13.4	17.2	-3.82
Randy Livingston	30	27	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-2	13	16.4	17.4	-1.01	17.3	13.0	4.32
Matt Maloney	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	11	-13	17.4	16.4	1.01	13.0	17.3	-4.32
Kevin Willis	35	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	6	-3	15.7	17.9	-2.21	15.9	13.4	2.57
Matt Bullard	44	40	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	11	-13	16.9	17.3	-0.48	14.9	13.8	1.10
Tracy Moore	6	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	12	-15	4.7	18.0	-13.31	13.4	14.4	-0.96

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Scheffler	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	3.0	14.6	-11.57	18.0	17.1	0.90
Craig Ehlo	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-13	17	15.4	13.8	1.58	16.5	17.4	-0.95
Jim McIlvaine	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-11	13	14.0	14.6	-0.55	18.6	15.7	2.86
Gary Payton	81	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-6	3	14.3	14.1	0.22	16.7	19.9	-3.17
Eric Snow	33	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-1	-7	17.1	12.7	4.39	17.8	16.7	1.07
Sam Perkins	48	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	0	-9	15.3	13.2	2.10	16.4	18.0	-1.61
Hersey Hawkins	66	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-2	-5	12.9	18.2	-5.31	17.2	16.8	0.45
Shawn Kemp	80	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	13.9	17.3	-3.36	16.8	20.4	-3.68
Detlef Schrempf	64	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	6	-21	14.1	14.8	-0.75	17.4	16.5	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	95.4%
CLE 87, CHH 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.1%
TOR 110, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	94.7%