NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	5.9 [684]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +9.7%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	1.0 [669]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -15.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.07	-0.05	9	50%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	3	110%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.03	-0.04	23	45%	0.00	4	-0.07	10	90%	0.06
Eddie Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	26%	-0.07	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	10	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	19	44%	-0.05	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	46%	-0.04	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	18	46%	-0.03	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	26.6	17.4	28.3	2.4	32.5	135.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +27.0%

DAL -0.9%

MIN +20.9%

MIN +1.5%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	17.4	12.4	15.5	103.1	94.8	104.0
season	15.8	14.9		106.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.9	15.0	20.6	16.6	17.4
DAL	13.4	11.7	12.1	12.7	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	80	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	4	1	17.5	16.6	0.96	12.2	13.3	-1.03
Mark Madsen	48	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	2	5	16.8	17.9	-1.13	12.3	12.5	-0.21
Sam Cassell	48	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	3	3	17.3	17.4	-0.10	11.8	13.1	-1.27
Michael Olowokandi	33	32	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	1	7	18.8	16.7	2.09	12.8	12.2	0.61
Wally Szczerbiak	59	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	8	-7	16.3	19.0	-2.66	12.1	12.9	-0.81
Fred Hoiberg	46	45	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	6	-3	16.2	18.4	-2.21	12.3	12.6	-0.28
Trenton Hassell	53	52	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	3	3	18.2	16.5	1.70	12.4	12.5	-0.03
Latrell Sprewell	38	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	1	7	19.0	16.3	2.66	12.9	12.1	0.81
Troy Hudson	49	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	6	-3	17.4	17.3	0.10	13.1	11.8	1.27
Eddie Griffin	31	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	11	-13	16.8	17.7	-0.89	12.9	12.2	0.67

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-9	9	11.6	12.5	-0.97	17.4	17.4	0.07
Shawn Bradley	4	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	-1	-7	16.2	12.3	3.98	17.2	17.4	-0.19
Alan Henderson	52	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	12.7	12.2	0.47	17.7	17.0	0.70
Michael Finley	63	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-13	17	12.4	12.5	-0.07	18.8	14.7	4.11
Marquis Daniels	52	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-7	5	12.5	12.3	0.22	17.4	17.3	0.13
Keith Van Horn	59	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	11.9	13.3	-1.44	15.8	19.7	-3.91
Josh Howard	76	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	12.1	13.7	-1.66	17.6	16.6	0.98
Dirk Nowitzki	94	95	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-3	-3	12.3	20.5	-8.23	17.4	17.0	0.39
Jason Terry	71	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.00	-18	9	-27	13.2	10.3	2.86	16.9	18.8	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, SEA 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
CLE 89, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	94.4%
DAL 107, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.31,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%