NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	5.5 [694]		MVP	Vitaly Potapenko (CLE): +10.9%
Toronto Raptors	81		Comeback	1.1 [574]		LVP	Walt Williams (TOR): -17.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.03	7	59%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	8	71%	0.18	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	15	52%	0.05	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Bob Sura	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bobby Phills	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mark West	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	4	46%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.05
Terrell Brandon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	37%	-0.03	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	63%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	14	63%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	18	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	12	83%	0.04
Acie Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	8	40%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	8	31%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.3	24.6	15.7	24.0	2.8	33.3	129.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.7%

TOR -9.1%

CLE +0.1%

CLE +8.8%

CLE +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	17.4	16.8	15.6	106.0	96.4	104.4
season	17.8	16.1		102.1	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.1		105.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	16.7	16.9	19.6	17.4
TOR	19.2	16.0	15.8	16.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	1	6	17.8	14.1	3.66	16.6	18.7	-2.04
Tyrone Hill	45	47	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-6	20	18.4	16.3	2.16	17.3	16.3	1.03
Bobby Phills	79	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	4	0	17.9	10.6	7.27	16.8	17.1	-0.32
Danny Ferry	56	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.32	3	5	-2	17.4	17.5	-0.04	16.7	17.1	-0.45
Bob Sura	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	4	0	17.2	17.7	-0.52	16.7	17.0	-0.28
Terrell Brandon	42	45	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	0	8	16.9	18.0	-1.12	17.0	16.6	0.38
Mark West	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	5	-2	17.0	17.9	-0.98	16.6	17.1	-0.45
Antonio Lang	8	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	7	-6	14.1	17.8	-3.66	18.7	16.6	2.04
Vitaly Potapenko	25	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	12	-16	16.5	17.8	-1.37	16.7	16.9	-0.21

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	13	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-6	4	18.0	16.6	1.37	16.7	17.6	-0.86
Acie Earl	37	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-12	16	15.9	17.6	-1.75	17.7	17.2	0.52
Carlos Rogers	16	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-5	2	17.3	16.7	0.58	16.7	17.7	-0.98
Marcus Camby	66	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	16.6	17.8	-1.26	16.8	19.4	-2.64
Doug Christie	70	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	0	-8	16.7	17.6	-0.96	17.8	15.8	2.01
Popeye Jones	59	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	4	-16	17.7	14.8	2.91	17.8	16.5	1.31
Damon Stoudamire	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-3	-2	16.6	25.5	-8.87	17.6	11.5	6.09
Walt Williams	77	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	1	-10	17.0	15.6	1.39	17.3	18.2	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 127, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	94.5%
MIN 100, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	94.4%
IND 109, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.4%