NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	5.9 [598]		MVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): +15.2%
Vancouver Grizzlies	97		Comeback	1.0 [1070]		LVP	Malik Rose (SAS): -16.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.03	13	69%	0.23	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Geary	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	5	93%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	28	55%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.02
Avery Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Lohaus	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	3	44%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	0.01
Carl Herrera	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	8	42%	-0.13	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.09

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.02	16	64%	0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	26	54%	0.10	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.03
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	15	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	29.5	15.5	24.2	2.3	28.3	124.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +51.2%

VAN -20.3%

SAS +1.5%

SAS +16.9%

SAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	VAN	NBA	SAS	VAN	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	15.6	123.6	109.0	102.5
season	15.9	15.1		100.9	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.9		109.1	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.9	15.9	17.9	16.0	16.9
VAN	18.1	14.1	14.2	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-1	15	17.1	15.9	1.13	15.8	14.4	1.42
Jaren Jackson	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-1	15	16.9	16.5	0.46	15.3	17.1	-1.80
Avery Johnson	57	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	0	13	16.3	17.8	-1.50	15.7	15.1	0.61
Chuck Person	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	9	-5	16.4	17.4	-0.99	16.0	14.8	1.19
Will Perdue	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	0	13	17.4	15.9	1.45	15.9	14.8	1.14
Malik Rose	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	11	-9	17.0	16.8	0.27	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Carl Herrera	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.10	7	6	1	15.8	17.2	-1.38	16.0	15.3	0.72
Reggie Geary	43	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	14	-15	17.5	16.3	1.18	15.6	15.4	0.15
Brad Lohaus	38	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	14	-15	16.7	17.0	-0.30	13.6	16.9	-3.27

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-11	9	16.9	14.6	2.28	17.3	16.6	0.71
Antonio Daniels	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-16	19	15.1	15.7	-0.58	17.8	16.5	1.32
Bobby Hurley	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-16	19	17.6	14.7	2.93	17.1	16.7	0.42
George Lynch	22	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	13.5	16.2	-2.66	18.2	16.4	1.75
Ivano Newbill	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-12	11	17.0	15.0	2.07	18.3	16.3	1.96
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-9	5	16.1	12.6	3.48	16.8	17.3	-0.53
Lee Mayberry	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.16	-16	3	-19	14.7	17.6	-2.93	16.7	17.1	-0.42
Blue Edwards	65	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	3	-19	15.7	15.1	0.58	16.5	17.8	-1.32
Pete Chilcutt	44	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	0	-13	14.5	16.5	-1.94	16.1	17.5	-1.44
Tony Massenburg	76	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	3	-19	15.7	14.5	1.22	16.4	19.6	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
LAC 122, CHA 117	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.43,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	93.5%
CHA 91, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.3%