NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	6.2 [541]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +16.2%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	1.0 [878]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -26.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	19	57%	0.16	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	6	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	15	68%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	20	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Calvin Booth	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	10	40%	0.03	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	9	56%	0.00
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dean Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	10	41%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	7	35%	-0.05	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	0.05	13	68%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	23	50%	0.03	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	16	26%	-0.19	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.6	33.2	17.2	24.8	1.8	29.5	134.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +47.7%

GSW -5.4%

GSW -5.3%

SEA +16.8%

GSW -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	15.5	110.4	96.9	101.6
season	16.5	14.6		101.7	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.2	14.5	16.2	17.1	16.0
GSW	14.5	14.3	14.4	12.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	89	89	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	-4	21	15.8	18.3	-2.51	13.8	16.9	-3.04
Desmond Mason	64	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	2	9	16.0	15.9	0.03	14.2	13.8	0.39
Predrag Drobnjak	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.05	12	1	11	15.6	16.7	-1.08	14.1	13.9	0.20
Brent Barry	75	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	6	1	16.0	15.8	0.25	14.9	11.2	3.65
Vladimir Radmanovic	33	34	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	8	-3	17.6	15.1	2.51	13.9	14.1	-0.29
Gary Payton	82	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	5	3	15.7	17.4	-1.64	13.0	20.4	-7.39
Calvin Booth	14	14	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	10	-7	14.8	16.2	-1.37	13.9	14.1	-0.13
Ansu Sesay	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	13	-13	15.0	16.3	-1.35	14.7	13.8	0.86
Reggie Evans	16	17	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	9	-5	16.1	15.9	0.12	16.2	13.6	2.67
Jerome James	16	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	15	-17	18.4	15.5	2.90	13.3	14.2	-0.88

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oscar Torres	4	4	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-14	15	3.7	14.5	-10.74	13.2	16.1	-2.83
Troy Murphy	67	67	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-13	13	13.3	15.8	-2.46	15.4	17.3	-1.99
Adonal Foyle	22	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-14	15	15.4	13.6	1.71	15.3	16.1	-0.86
Dean Oliver	2	3	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-8	3	25.0	13.8	11.19	11.7	16.1	-4.43
Jiri Welsch	43	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	12.7	15.1	-2.35	16.3	15.7	0.67
Gilbert Arenas	75	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-7	1	14.5	12.2	2.31	16.0	15.9	0.07
Mike Dunleavy	48	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-6	-1	12.4	15.6	-3.21	16.0	15.9	0.17
Jason Richardson	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	-1	-11	14.6	12.7	1.87	16.1	15.7	0.34
Erick Dampier	60	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.07	-17	4	-21	15.2	12.2	3.00	16.9	14.4	2.56
Antawn Jamison	91	90	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.10	-16	3	-19	14.4	8.0	6.37	15.9	17.2	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
CHI 96, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.0%
LAC 100, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	93.7%