NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	122		Excitement	6.2 [584]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +29.7%
Charlotte Hornets	117		Comeback	1.0 [896]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -4.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.21	0.08	-0.01	14	79%	0.31	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Austin Rivers	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.20	0.05	0.01	11	85%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	5	73%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	2	125%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.07	0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	72%	0.08	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.03
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.08	5	-0.13	12	92%	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.02	13	63%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.02	0.12	19	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	11	70%	0.13	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	28%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	15	53%	0.05	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	31.6	15.5	25.4	2.4	39.0	143.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +57.1%

LAC +1.9%

CHA -18.0%

LAC +6.5%

LAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	14.9	127.1	121.9	105.1
season	14.8	15.1		106.6	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	13.9	14.8	15.5	14.9
CHA	15.3	14.3	18.0	13.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	33	32	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	-4	13	15.0	14.8	0.25	17.2	14.1	3.12
Jamal Crawford	48	45	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	-1	7	15.3	14.4	0.85	16.3	14.1	2.17
DeAndre Jordan	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-2	9	15.5	13.6	1.86	15.1	15.1	0.02
Austin Rivers	38	38	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	5	-5	14.9	14.8	0.14	15.8	14.7	1.04
Wesley Johnson	40	39	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	7	-9	14.9	14.8	0.06	16.8	14.0	2.75
Paul Pierce	46	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	0	5	14.5	15.2	-0.78	13.0	17.2	-4.19
JJ Redick	56	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	-2	9	14.6	15.2	-0.66	14.2	16.4	-2.25
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	60	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	3	-1	14.5	15.5	-1.01	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Cole Aldrich	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	6	-7	14.5	15.0	-0.55	16.0	14.8	1.19
Chris Paul	63	64	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	9	-13	14.8	15.0	-0.25	14.1	17.2	-3.12
Lance Stephenson	4	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	15.7	14.8	0.92	15.8	15.1	0.70

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Hairston	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-3	1	14.3	15.8	-1.47	16.9	13.3	3.54
Marvin Williams	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-4	3	13.6	17.0	-3.38	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Cody Zeller	58	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-4	3	14.1	16.7	-2.52	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Troy Daniels	6	5	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	0	-5	11.8	15.4	-3.52	4.2	15.5	-11.25
Kemba Walker	76	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	14.3	18.2	-3.87	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Brian Roberts	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-2	-1	17.4	13.8	3.61	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Tyler Hansbrough	27	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	3	-11	19.1	13.6	5.58	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Jeremy Lamb	43	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	0	-5	17.2	13.4	3.80	14.0	15.6	-1.51
Nicolas Batum	86	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	14.5	20.6	-6.10	15.1	13.1	1.97
Frank Kaminsky	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-5	5	15.7	14.4	1.26	15.5	14.0	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.43,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 110, VAN 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.5%
DET 113, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%
MIA 86, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.5%