NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	8.4 [239]		MVP	Tari Eason (HOU): +23.1%
Houston Rockets	119		Comeback	4.4 [570]		LVP	Tyus Jones (PHX): -31.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royce O'Neale	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.02	9	78%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	8	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	6	79%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.07	0.14	-0.03	0.04	22	76%	0.31	7	-0.24	5	100%	0.02
TyTy Washington Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bol Bol	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	18	42%	0.08	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.14	-0.18	-0.00	11	42%	-0.05	6	-0.27	2	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tari Eason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.07	0.02	16	76%	0.29	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	2	125%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.07	0.02	13	60%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.01	21	49%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	12	57%	0.10	2	-0.09	6	50%	-0.07
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	38%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	-0.02	13	55%	0.05	3	-0.09	7	57%	-0.03
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	20%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.0	23.0	14.4	25.5	1.6	32.3	126.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -4.0%

PHX -1.2%

HOU +19.7%

HOU +35.7%

PHX -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	13.4	14.4	112.1	117.8	113.0
season	15.0	14.8		114.3	113.9
opponent	14.3	14.2		109.7	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	16.8	14.7	15.8	15.4
HOU	12.7	14.5	14.1	12.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Dunn	20	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-8	8	15.9	15.3	0.61	12.6	13.6	-0.99
Collin Gillespie	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-5	2	16.0	15.2	0.84	13.4	13.4	0.02
TyTy Washington Jr.	53	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	15.3	15.5	-0.16	13.5	13.3	0.12
Kevin Durant	86	89	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-13	18	15.0	18.0	-2.98	13.5	13.0	0.46
Mason Plumlee	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-7	6	15.8	15.2	0.59	12.5	13.9	-1.37
Nick Richards	56	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-4	0	15.6	15.1	0.49	14.2	12.4	1.77
Bol Bol	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	0	-8	15.3	15.6	-0.24	13.3	13.8	-0.49
Tyus Jones	69	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-3	-2	15.2	16.0	-0.84	13.4	13.4	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	74	74	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.34	-20	12	-32	15.5	15.1	0.39	13.5	13.1	0.35

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tari Eason	73	74	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.28	18	-10	28	13.0	14.5	-1.51	15.0	16.6	-1.53
Alperen Sengun	80	79	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.30	13	-5	18	13.4	13.6	-0.21	15.7	14.3	1.40
Dillon Brooks	67	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	0	8	13.2	13.9	-0.72	15.2	15.8	-0.53
Reed Sheppard	23	24	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	-4	16	14.2	13.2	1.05	16.5	15.1	1.49
Amen Thompson	88	86	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	13	-18	13.4	13.2	0.20	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Jalen Green	78	75	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	12	-16	13.2	14.2	-1.05	15.1	16.5	-1.49
Cam Whitmore	45	44	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	-1	10	13.9	13.0	0.95	15.6	15.3	0.32
Steven Adams	21	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	13	-18	13.6	13.4	0.21	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Jae'Sean Tate	30	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.07	-6	14	-20	14.1	13.1	0.99	16.7	14.9	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.9,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 114, MIN 127	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.64,0.47,0.58,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	91.7%
DEN 82, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.92,1	91.5%
ATL 100, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	91.4%