NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	8.0 [291]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +28.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	127		Comeback	2.9 [429]		LVP	Reed Sheppard (HOU): -14.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Whitmore	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.10	-0.03	13	52%	0.19	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jock Landale	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.00	4	111%	0.12	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	62%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	13	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.13	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	22	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.14	0.02	25	63%	0.43	4	-0.14	15	93%	0.06
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	-0.01	-0.01	9	77%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.00	0.06	8	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	65%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	0.00	15	40%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	16	45%	-0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	30.3	15.6	26.8	1.8	33.3	137.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +14.8%

MIN +4.8%

MIN +29.0%

MIN +2.4%

HOU -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	14.4	117.5	130.9	113.1
season	14.7	14.7		114.2	115.4
opponent	14.6	14.2		110.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	12.5	16.0	13.5	14.1
MIN	14.7	14.1	16.7	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reed Sheppard	35	33	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-17	21	14.3	14.0	0.26	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Jock Landale	29	29	0.09	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-18	23	12.8	14.6	-1.85	16.7	15.1	1.61
Jae'Sean Tate	22	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-11	9	12.3	14.6	-2.35	15.4	15.7	-0.24
Tari Eason	56	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-13	13	14.4	13.7	0.63	15.3	16.1	-0.87
Cam Whitmore	58	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	13.3	15.2	-1.90	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Dillon Brooks	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	1	-15	15.2	11.8	3.41	15.7	15.5	0.19
Jalen Green	77	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	1	-15	14.3	13.2	1.12	15.7	15.3	0.36
Amen Thompson	76	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.14	-15	2	-17	13.7	15.7	-2.01	15.8	14.8	0.94
Alperen Sengun	66	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.10	-21	8	-29	14.8	12.6	2.13	15.2	16.5	-1.35

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	58	61	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.16	22	-9	31	16.0	15.0	1.04	15.0	12.5	2.49
Naz Reid	71	72	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.04	25	-12	37	15.6	15.5	0.19	14.5	13.0	1.47
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	2	9	16.0	14.9	1.11	14.1	14.1	0.05
Anthony Edwards	77	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	4	5	15.5	16.1	-0.63	14.4	12.9	1.52
Mike Conley	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	1	11	15.5	15.7	-0.23	13.0	15.9	-2.89
Rudy Gobert	69	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	11	-9	15.2	16.6	-1.42	14.8	12.2	2.59
Luka Garza	5	4	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	11	-9	14.8	15.6	-0.84	11.5	14.2	-2.70
Jaylen Clark	40	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	21	-29	16.2	15.2	1.02	12.8	14.9	-2.14
Terrence Shannon Jr.	16	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	15	-17	13.2	16.1	-2.89	12.1	14.5	-2.40
Rob Dillingham	25	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	21	-29	16.0	15.5	0.49	13.8	14.2	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.64,0.47,0.58,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	92.4%
DAL 87, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1	91.9%
WAS 85, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.64,0.76,0.54,0.69,0.93,1,1,1	91.9%