NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	7.0 [519]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): +18.5%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	2.6 [185]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -18.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.03	-0.01	19	63%	0.23	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Maxi Kleber	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	4	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Reggie Bullock	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	10	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	29	37%	-0.19	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.09

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	8	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.10	0.01	9	65%	0.19	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Franz Wagner	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	17	58%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Admiral Schofield	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.01
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	32%	-0.01	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	24.4	14.4	30.4	2.4	29.6	129.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +47.0%

ORL +12.7%

ORL +21.0%

DAL -31.4%

ORL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	14.4	92.6	98.9	113.4
season	15.2	14.3		115.5	111.0
opponent	14.5	14.3		113.0	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	14.2	16.9	15.9	15.9
ORL	13.0	15.8	11.9	18.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	21	24	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-11	15	14.5	16.3	-1.80	14.5	14.6	-0.15
Tim Hardaway Jr.	43	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.05	-3	-4	1	16.2	15.6	0.62	14.2	15.0	-0.74
Maxi Kleber	65	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-6	5	15.5	16.8	-1.33	15.1	13.5	1.63
Spencer Dinwiddie	74	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	15.8	16.2	-0.48	15.4	12.1	3.22
Luka Doncic	71	71	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-4	1	15.9	15.9	0.00	13.7	17.4	-3.70
Reggie Bullock	51	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	15.6	16.2	-0.62	15.0	14.2	0.74
Dorian Finney-Smith	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-3	-1	15.9	15.8	0.08	14.5	14.8	-0.35
Dwight Powell	36	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	3	-13	17.0	15.2	1.87	14.3	14.8	-0.56
Josh Green	48	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	2	-11	16.3	15.4	0.86	14.7	14.6	0.10

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caleb Houstan	52	50	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-3	13	15.6	13.4	2.26	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Terrence Ross	60	57	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-1	9	14.8	14.2	0.65	15.9	15.8	0.10
Franz Wagner	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.18	13	-6	19	13.9	16.2	-2.27	16.1	15.2	0.96
Wendell Carter Jr.	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-3	13	14.6	14.7	-0.06	16.1	15.1	1.02
Chuma Okeke	60	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	3	1	14.7	14.4	0.33	16.0	15.6	0.38
Jalen Suggs	50	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	2	3	15.1	14.0	1.08	15.9	15.8	0.06
Admiral Schofield	1	1	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	5	-3	14.0	14.6	-0.62	7.0	16.0	-8.97
Mo Bamba	49	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	14	-21	14.5	14.7	-0.25	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Bol Bol	50	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	10	-13	13.7	15.6	-1.88	15.7	16.0	-0.28
R.J. Hampton	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	14	-21	14.4	14.7	-0.24	14.9	16.1	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.99,1	92.9%
POR 109, MIA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.96,1	92.5%
NJN 99, TOR 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.5%