NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	109		Excitement	7.4 [372]		MVP	Gerald Green (MIA): +35.6%
Miami Heat	116		Comeback	3.6 [548]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (POR): -10.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	9	89%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	18	68%	0.29	6	-0.19	11	82%	0.09
Meyers Leonard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
CJ McCollum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	19	53%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	40%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tim Frazier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	5	65%	0.12	5	-0.22	7	71%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.16	0.20	-0.00	9	81%	0.36	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	-0.00	13	73%	0.31	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.14	0.01	19	67%	0.33	5	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.02	7	106%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.05
Udonis Haslem	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.2	14.8	27.1	2.3	35.2	134.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +44.3%

POR -3.5%

POR -13.0%

MIA +28.4%

POR -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIA	NBA	POR	MIA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	14.9	114.7	123.4	105.1
season	15.0	15.5		107.1	104.5
opponent	15.1	14.6		103.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	14.4	17.1	15.0	15.3
MIA	14.1	14.4	15.5	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	50	49	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.16	7	-14	21	15.7	14.9	0.77	15.0	15.4	-0.46
Gerald Henderson	19	18	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-8	9	14.9	15.4	-0.50	13.5	15.6	-2.08
Tim Frazier	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-5	3	5.0	15.4	-10.40	0.0	15.2	-15.18
Ed Davis	36	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.1	0.64	14.3	15.6	-1.36
Maurice Harkless	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-10	13	15.5	15.2	0.23	16.8	14.6	2.26
Damian Lillard	74	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-13	19	14.7	17.4	-2.68	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Noah Vonleh	22	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	5	-17	17.4	14.7	2.69	14.2	15.5	-1.21
Allen Crabbe	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-6	5	14.4	16.9	-2.47	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	14.8	16.3	-1.53	15.4	14.7	0.71
Mason Plumlee	60	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	3	-13	14.9	16.0	-1.16	15.9	13.8	2.10
CJ McCollum	62	64	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	8	-23	16.8	12.5	4.21	15.1	15.3	-0.17

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	70	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-4	15	15.8	13.4	2.43	15.6	14.4	1.19
Beno Udrih	40	42	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-2	11	15.0	15.3	-0.27	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Gerald Green	64	65	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	1	5	15.1	15.4	-0.37	14.7	16.6	-1.86
Luol Deng	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.37	4	3	1	15.7	14.2	1.42	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Dwyane Wade	55	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	6	-5	15.7	14.4	1.32	14.4	16.6	-2.20
Chris Bosh	64	62	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	-2	11	14.4	16.9	-2.57	15.7	14.5	1.19
Goran Dragic	52	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	6	-5	15.4	14.9	0.50	15.7	14.8	0.92
Udonis Haslem	16	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	12.1	15.8	-3.68	14.8	15.4	-0.65
Justise Winslow	46	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	10	-13	15.2	15.2	0.03	16.3	14.3	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 84, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.45,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.0%
IND 97, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.43,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,1	91.8%
SAS 97, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.47,0.57,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	91.2%