NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	6.6 [479]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): +13.6%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	3.4 [416]		LVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): -20.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	6	59%	0.18	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Martell Webster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Singleton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	13	38%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.08	0.06	11	50%	-0.06	3	-0.12	10	80%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	12	71%	0.26	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.07	0.02	6	73%	0.15	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	17	71%	0.16	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	7	11%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.00	5	7%	-0.14	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	28.5	14.0	24.2	1.7	37.0	131.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +12.6%

DET +7.4%

DET +26.8%

DET +4.4%

WAS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	16.1	15.4	90.4	103.2	104.1
season	15.1	15.7		98.8	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.6	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	14.5	14.1	14.3	14.7
DET	15.2	15.5	17.2	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	27	25	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.10	3	-14	17	14.4	14.9	-0.53	18.2	15.3	2.87
Emeka Okafor	49	48	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.08	0	-11	11	14.6	15.0	-0.40	16.2	15.9	0.38
Martell Webster	52	50	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-10	9	13.3	16.5	-3.13	16.3	15.7	0.60
Kevin Seraphin	23	24	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-14	17	15.7	14.4	1.32	16.5	15.9	0.53
A.J. Price	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-8	5	15.7	14.5	1.20	15.0	16.4	-1.41
John Wall	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-3	-5	14.5	15.7	-1.20	16.4	15.0	1.41
Chris Singleton	42	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-5	-1	16.0	13.7	2.27	16.5	15.7	0.79
Nene	66	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	3	-17	14.4	15.5	-1.08	15.8	16.6	-0.76
Trevor Ariza	50	50	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.19	-15	4	-19	15.3	14.1	1.19	15.4	16.9	-1.52
Bradley Beal	67	68	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.28	-14	3	-17	14.9	14.4	0.53	15.3	18.2	-2.87

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	42	42	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	0	11	15.1	16.9	-1.77	14.9	14.7	0.20
Kyle Singler	73	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-4	19	15.9	16.6	-0.75	14.5	15.5	-1.02
Charlie Villanueva	56	55	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	0	11	15.4	17.0	-1.55	15.3	13.9	1.36
Greg Monroe	66	68	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	0	11	16.2	15.7	0.56	14.4	15.7	-1.36
Jose Calderon	70	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	3	5	16.2	15.7	0.43	14.8	14.7	0.08
Viacheslav Kravtsov	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	11	-11	15.7	16.2	-0.56	15.7	14.4	1.36
Rodney Stuckey	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	12	-13	16.2	16.0	0.20	15.3	14.4	0.96
Jason Maxiell	37	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	11	-11	17.0	15.4	1.55	13.9	15.3	-1.36
Brandon Knight	55	56	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	11	-11	16.8	15.0	1.80	14.5	15.1	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.64,0.76,0.54,0.69,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	92.5%
LAC 101, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.5%
HOU 110, DAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.9%