inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 119 Excitement6.2 [596] MVPKevin Durant (PHX): +23.4%
Phoenix Suns 112 Comeback1.1 [933] LVPTyTy Washington Jr. (PHX): -10.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Desmond Bane0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.050.011361%0.163-0.06786%0.01
Brandon Clarke0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.00-0.021164%0.0900.0000%0.00
Ja Morant0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.05-0.021952%0.152-0.061283%0.02
Santi Aldama0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.08-0.000.001070%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.013100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Zach Edey0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.03-0.02633%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.05-0.031740%0.084-0.09862%-0.02
Vince Williams Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.01939%0.021-0.0300%0.00
GG Jackson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00350%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jaylen Wells-0.030,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.020.02850%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luke Kennard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.230.230.240.010.021874%0.251-0.011070%-0.04
Bol Bol0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.08-0.011653%0.132-0.03250%-0.01
Nick Richards0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01460%0.0300.002100%0.01
Grayson Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00756%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.01367%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Devin Booker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.020.031355%0.052-0.045100%0.02
Ryan Dunn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Royce O'Neale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.001246%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.011148%0.032-0.051100%0.00
TyTy Washington Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.01812%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.44.232.716.432.53.535.5148.2
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +12.8%
MEM +2.7%
MEM +36.1%
PHX -2.7%
MEM +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMPHXNBAMEMPHXNBA
this game13.413.614.4112.3104.7113.0
season13.315.0115.6114.3
opponent14.214.3117.4112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM11.513.412.516.513.4
PHX15.813.214.211.213.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Desmond Bane78790.57-0.070.630.1813-61913.114.3-1.2113.414.3-0.92
Ja Morant74760.470.030.440.0614-72113.114.2-1.1213.713.50.22
Vince Williams Jr.36390.350.150.210.128-1914.213.01.1513.014.0-0.96
Jaren Jackson Jr.75770.340.160.180.108-1913.214.0-0.8013.414.1-0.68
Santi Aldama50500.330.170.170.2243113.713.20.4713.513.7-0.13
Brandon Clarke41410.240.26-0.020.27-18-913.513.40.1314.113.30.75
Jaylen Wells43440.130.37-0.230.0825-313.513.40.1713.613.60.01
Zach Edey45450.130.37-0.23-0.0461513.513.40.0613.813.50.37
Scotty Pippen Jr.27250.010.49-0.480.19-613-1916.012.63.4411.314.3-2.98
Luke Kennard3432-0.000.50-0.510.11-411-1512.613.8-1.2914.913.11.85
GG Jackson2727-0.080.58-0.660.19-916-2512.713.7-1.0315.213.12.11

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Dunn1110-0.08-0.420.350.01-3-4115.213.41.7513.313.4-0.15
TyTy Washington Jr.2729-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-6514.813.21.6113.413.40.02
Mason Plumlee1415-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-3-116.713.13.5712.813.5-0.74
Grayson Allen4342-0.18-0.320.15-0.12-2-5314.213.20.9713.413.5-0.13
Kevin Durant9796-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-91113.119.0-5.9513.710.92.80
Nick Richards3836-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-81-913.613.60.0413.313.5-0.24
Bol Bol7069-0.24-0.260.03-0.302-91112.715.3-2.5813.613.10.58
Royce O'Neale7373-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.372-91113.613.60.0313.812.71.11
Devin Booker8988-0.520.02-0.54-0.29-81-913.613.8-0.2713.015.3-2.29
Tyus Jones7372-0.530.03-0.56-0.09-158-2313.613.60.0313.313.8-0.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.04,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.06,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 97, DET 860.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.03,0,094.7%
POR 102, NJN 930.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,094.3%
IND 119, NJN 1120.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,094.3%