NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	5.6 [736]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +16.8%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	1.0 [599]		LVP	Ish Smith (DET): -16.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.01	7	76%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joel Embiid	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	15	79%	0.24	7	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Ben Simmons	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	11	75%	0.21	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Dario Saric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
JJ Redick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	37%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Markelle Fultz	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	4	112%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	7	36%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	17	43%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	16	47%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	16	34%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	0.2	27.3	15.3	32.3	1.8	30.2	132.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +47.9%

PHI +4.7%

PHI +4.1%

DET -7.7%

PHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	14.7	99.0	88.7	107.5
season	13.9	14.9		108.1	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		106.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	15.3	14.8	15.0	14.7
DET	16.1	12.9	14.6	15.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	54	54	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.04	21	-10	31	15.3	14.1	1.15	15.8	13.5	2.30
JJ Redick	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.06	20	-9	29	15.2	13.7	1.48	15.7	13.0	2.68
Ben Simmons	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	14.7	14.9	-0.16	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Robert Covington	68	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	3	5	15.0	14.1	0.88	15.7	12.9	2.79
Jerryd Bayless	67	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	7	-3	13.7	17.0	-3.30	14.8	14.9	-0.11
T.J. McConnell	32	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	9	-7	14.0	15.1	-1.06	14.9	14.7	0.22
Markelle Fultz	32	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	9	-7	14.9	14.7	0.29	15.0	14.7	0.35
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	16	17	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	10	-9	14.4	14.8	-0.37	11.7	15.4	-3.74
Dario Saric	44	43	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	15	-19	15.3	14.3	1.00	12.8	16.4	-3.64
Amir Johnson	41	39	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.08	-11	22	-33	14.6	14.9	-0.32	13.8	15.5	-1.67

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	29	28	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.31	17	-28	45	12.4	15.8	-3.40	13.0	15.4	-2.44
Jon Leuer	35	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-9	7	13.0	15.8	-2.76	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Luke Kennard	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-7	3	13.2	15.7	-2.54	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Ish Smith	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-6	1	13.2	15.7	-2.54	14.3	15.0	-0.76
Avery Bradley	75	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-7	3	15.5	12.3	3.20	14.7	15.0	-0.27
Tobias Harris	66	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-4	-3	15.5	13.2	2.30	15.2	13.8	1.35
Reggie Jackson	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	15.7	13.2	2.54	15.0	14.3	0.76
Stanley Johnson	34	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	7	-25	16.1	14.1	2.04	15.2	14.5	0.80
Anthony Tolliver	37	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	4	-19	15.2	14.5	0.64	16.1	13.9	2.18
Andre Drummond	76	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.19	-11	0	-11	15.1	13.6	1.56	14.4	16.3	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
MEM 97, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 97, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0	94.2%