inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 102 Excitement5.2 [761] MVPJohn Crotty (MIA): +15.7%
Orlando Magic 88 Comeback1.2 [968] LVPDan Schayes (ORL): -12.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Crotty0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.070.07-0.021074%0.232-0.073100%0.01
Jamal Mashburn0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.020.09-0.00775%0.173-0.062100%0.01
Ed Pinckney0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.02275%0.0100.004100%0.02
Willie Anderson0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01583%0.043-0.032100%0.00
Keith Askins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.001150%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Dan Majerle-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.020.041172%0.083-0.103100%0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011338%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.02-0.061046%0.024-0.08475%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.02425%-0.051-0.02475%-0.00
Ike Austin-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.030.011443%-0.043-0.0700%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.02-0.03333%0.0400.0000%0.00
David Vaughn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Strong0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.001763%0.094-0.119100%0.06
Nick Anderson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.01470%0.022-0.042100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.051558%0.056-0.083100%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Gerald Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.030.000.021547%-0.031-0.02667%-0.01
Dennis Scott0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.00-0.01714%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.001035%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Dan Schayes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.030.011033%-0.072-0.061100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.02.028.016.623.61.825.4125.5
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +50.7%
ORL -2.9%
MIA +7.2%
ORL -7.7%
MIA +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game14.616.815.6110.996.7104.4
season15.816.4103.1102.9
opponent15.516.3103.598.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.712.516.714.214.6
ORL17.815.818.415.816.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard50500.64-0.140.78-0.0925-113614.814.40.4419.813.36.47
Mark Strickland52500.490.010.47-0.0418-42213.416.3-2.9315.318.7-3.39
John Crotty59580.410.090.330.031311213.416.8-3.3917.515.71.80
Dan Majerle65640.370.130.230.07104613.916.5-2.6615.520.1-4.59
Ike Austin54560.250.250.010.0577015.213.81.3618.414.34.16
Jamal Mashburn64640.200.30-0.100.14212-1016.011.54.4617.216.01.20
P.J. Brown22210.070.43-0.36-0.02311-815.714.31.4317.816.61.25
Willie Anderson44440.070.43-0.360.16-317-2015.014.40.6016.617.1-0.49
Keith Askins22220.060.44-0.390.06014-1416.314.12.2015.717.2-1.54
Ed Pinckney2826-0.050.55-0.610.09-519-2414.214.8-0.6712.418.6-6.25

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Vaughn22-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-141416.016.9-0.8713.014.7-1.68
Anfernee Hardaway910-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-10618.116.71.4015.614.51.08
Brian Evans3031-0.13-0.370.23-0.130-141414.518.0-3.5014.514.7-0.14
Dennis Scott3940-0.19-0.310.12-0.05-5-9417.016.70.2214.714.60.15
Gerald Wilkins6464-0.21-0.290.07-0.10-4-10616.318.1-1.8014.215.7-1.49
Brian Shaw4948-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.06-10-4-617.316.31.0414.714.50.23
Dan Schayes8688-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.12-8-6-216.621.0-4.4014.713.01.72
Nick Anderson4243-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-162-1818.215.72.5415.214.21.02
Derek Strong7069-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.10-9-5-417.016.30.6715.113.31.78
Darrell Armstrong6465-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.04-140-1417.116.10.9914.016.3-2.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 97, DET 860.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.03,0,094.4%
HOU 91, MIA 800.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.2%
WAS 109, ATL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,094.0%