NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	5.0 [796]		MVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): +15.7%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	1.0 [509]		LVP	Emanual Davis (ATL): -11.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.03	0.02	18	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Tyronn Lue	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	17	61%	0.15	5	-0.10	4	50%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Christian Laettner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.01	3	-0.08	12	83%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.02	22	69%	0.17	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	59%	0.06	0	0.00	12	83%	0.05
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	60%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	0.2	30.2	15.8	26.0	1.8	33.4	132.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.9%

WAS +1.0%

ATL -0.6%

WAS +8.6%

WAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.5	117.2	107.6	101.6
season	16.5	15.1		100.9	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	15.5	17.7	16.9	16.4
ATL	14.6	17.2	13.6	13.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	80	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-3	16	16.0	19.2	-3.19	14.9	13.9	1.01
Brendan Haywood	67	69	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-1	12	16.3	16.7	-0.39	14.9	14.2	0.72
Michael Jordan	72	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	7	-4	16.4	16.3	0.16	14.7	14.7	-0.04
Charles Oakley	15	15	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	8	-6	17.3	16.2	1.10	13.4	15.0	-1.57
Tyronn Lue	39	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	-2	14	15.5	17.1	-1.59	14.7	14.7	0.04
Bryon Russell	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	1	8	16.9	16.2	0.74	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Christian Laettner	67	65	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.01	6	4	2	16.7	15.7	0.94	15.0	14.1	0.91
Larry Hughes	64	63	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	15	-20	16.7	15.8	0.84	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Kwame Brown	30	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	11	-12	16.8	16.2	0.63	15.0	14.6	0.39

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-8	6	12.9	15.1	-2.23	18.4	16.0	2.37
Ira Newble	61	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-16	22	14.3	15.6	-1.30	16.3	16.6	-0.35
Matt Maloney	43	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-11	12	15.4	14.1	1.23	16.6	16.3	0.30
Darvin Ham	16	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-5	0	14.4	14.8	-0.41	17.4	16.2	1.21
Jason Terry	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-9	8	14.3	15.0	-0.74	16.5	16.3	0.19
Alan Henderson	17	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	0	-10	14.4	14.8	-0.37	15.0	16.7	-1.75
Dion Glover	17	16	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.19	-15	5	-20	15.4	14.6	0.85	14.9	16.7	-1.78
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-10	10	14.8	14.4	0.37	16.7	15.0	1.75
Emanual Davis	25	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	5	-20	14.0	15.0	-0.93	16.7	16.3	0.36
Glenn Robinson	76	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-5	0	14.8	14.4	0.41	16.2	17.4	-1.21
Theo Ratliff	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-6	2	15.4	11.9	3.45	16.2	17.3	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.31,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%
MIA 102, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
IND 87, NYK 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%