NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	4.9 [869]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +11.2%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	1.1 [238]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -16.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	-0.00	14	58%	0.14	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	40%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	11	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	8	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	45%	0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	11	34%	-0.05	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	24	54%	0.04	10	-0.20	9	78%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	33.1	15.6	25.4	2.5	35.2	135.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.7%

PHI +11.8%

CHI -0.6%

PHI +1.4%

CHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.5	101.0	89.5	105.7
season	15.5	15.7		104.6	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		99.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	16.4	17.0	15.7	15.7
CHI	16.2	14.9	13.0	13.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-2	16	16.0	14.5	1.52	14.9	11.9	2.97
Jrue Holiday	80	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	4	4	15.1	18.8	-3.71	14.1	16.1	-2.04
Jodie Meeks	62	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	3	6	16.1	15.0	1.07	15.1	13.3	1.86
Lou Williams	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	4	4	15.8	15.6	0.25	14.2	14.8	-0.66
Spencer Hawes	48	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	6	0	15.7	15.7	-0.06	13.7	15.3	-1.63
Andre Iguodala	80	80	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	9	-6	15.7	15.8	-0.11	14.1	16.3	-2.18
Thaddeus Young	49	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	2	8	15.9	15.6	0.28	14.9	14.0	0.87
Evan Turner	12	12	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	5	2	17.6	15.5	2.13	16.2	14.2	1.99
Marreese Speights	14	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	17	-22	13.8	16.0	-2.26	13.4	14.6	-1.21

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-8	4	14.7	14.3	0.41	16.5	15.3	1.12
Keith Bogans	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-8	4	15.5	13.9	1.51	16.6	15.3	1.36
Ronnie Brewer	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-6	0	14.2	14.6	-0.43	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Omer Asik	19	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-5	-2	15.1	14.3	0.78	16.0	15.7	0.35
Luol Deng	84	84	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-8	4	14.1	17.2	-3.11	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Joakim Noah	72	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-6	0	14.3	14.7	-0.41	15.5	16.5	-1.01
Kyle Korver	16	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	16.3	14.1	2.26	14.6	15.9	-1.30
CJ Watson	36	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-8	4	14.1	14.6	-0.47	16.3	15.3	0.94
Derrick Rose	84	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-6	0	14.2	16.2	-1.98	15.3	18.7	-3.40
Carlos Boozer	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-2	-8	14.3	14.6	-0.27	15.7	15.7	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 100, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0	94.9%
DAL 107, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.31,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
IND 119, NJN 112	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0	94.3%