NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	119		Excitement	5.6 [685]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +7.4%
New Jersey Nets	112		Comeback	1.0 [873]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -21.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.07	-0.04	0.08	-0.03	13	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	21	90%	0.09
Mark Jackson	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	87%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	7	56%	0.09	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	12	61%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	68%	0.06	3	-0.03	14	50%	-0.07
Chris Mullin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	64%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.04	6	81%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	87%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	73%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.01	34	49%	-0.02	7	-0.16	11	73%	-0.07
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.20	-0.02	-0.01	19	36%	-0.12	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	2.5	33.3	14.8	38.2	2.5	49.5	172.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.6%

IND +10.7%

IND +4.6%

IND +3.1%

NJN -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	14.0	12.6	15.2	111.2	101.8	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		106.5	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.1		103.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	14.3	14.6	12.9	14.0
NJN	15.0	12.9	12.6	10.3	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	70	72	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.18	14	-7	21	13.6	14.8	-1.20	12.3	13.0	-0.67
Reggie Miller	88	91	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	0	7	14.2	13.3	0.90	12.5	12.6	-0.08
Mark Jackson	76	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-8	23	13.8	14.5	-0.64	12.0	14.0	-2.03
Jalen Rose	60	62	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-8	23	13.9	14.1	-0.11	13.5	11.3	2.26
Sam Perkins	70	69	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	10	-13	14.3	13.4	0.91	12.2	13.1	-0.89
Rik Smits	35	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	1	5	14.2	13.9	0.25	13.7	12.0	1.71
Travis Best	24	26	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	6	-5	14.2	14.0	0.21	13.5	12.3	1.28
Al Harrington	50	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	16	-25	13.6	14.3	-0.68	11.7	13.3	-1.58
Austin Croshere	37	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	14	-21	14.8	13.6	1.20	13.0	12.3	0.67
Chris Mullin	25	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	11	-15	13.6	14.1	-0.57	12.0	12.7	-0.79

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	32	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.26	13	-20	33	12.1	12.8	-0.66	13.9	14.0	-0.09
Jim McIlvaine	14	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-2	-3	13.5	12.4	1.07	14.1	14.0	0.10
Scott Burrell	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-7	7	14.6	11.6	2.96	15.9	13.1	2.80
Lucious Harris	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-7	7	13.0	12.2	0.74	14.6	13.5	1.06
Sherman Douglas	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	11.4	13.3	-1.95	13.0	14.6	-1.58
Kendall Gill	76	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-5	3	12.2	13.5	-1.31	13.5	15.2	-1.67
Johnny Newman	41	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	0	-7	11.8	13.0	-1.17	13.8	14.1	-0.37
Stephon Marbury	107	104	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	12.5	16.0	-3.53	14.0	12.3	1.71
Jamie Feick	80	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	1	-9	12.4	13.1	-0.74	14.0	13.9	0.16
Keith Van Horn	74	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.05	-21	14	-35	13.2	11.2	1.99	13.8	14.4	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.4%
TOR 108, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.2%
MIN 110, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%