NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	4.1 [994]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +13.2%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.2 [603]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -11.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	13	69%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.02	12	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Rodney Stuckey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	72%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	2	83%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	5	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
CJ Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	80%	0.12	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
David West	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Copeland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	16	64%	0.15	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.02
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.04	0.06	8	71%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	14	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	5	69%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.05	0.08	17	51%	-0.06	2	-0.05	13	92%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	29.8	14.7	27.0	2.6	47.0	146.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.0%

IND +12.9%

UTA -2.3%

IND +0.4%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.1	116.7	112.2	104.2
season	16.0	16.2		102.3	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		103.7	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.1	14.7	17.9	16.2	16.6
UTA	19.8	14.7	16.4	11.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	59	59	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.49	0	4	-4	17.0	15.9	1.06	16.2	14.0	2.18
Lavoy Allen	41	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	-2	8	15.3	17.7	-2.36	14.9	15.8	-0.89
David West	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	2	0	16.5	16.7	-0.21	16.5	14.0	2.52
CJ Miles	52	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-1	6	15.6	17.9	-2.29	15.5	15.3	0.25
Rodney Stuckey	37	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-3	10	17.7	15.8	1.87	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Roy Hibbert	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	5	-6	18.0	15.0	2.91	16.3	14.4	1.90
Donald Sloan	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	0	4	16.0	17.1	-1.01	14.9	15.9	-1.02
CJ Watson	51	50	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.31	-4	8	-12	16.5	16.7	-0.21	15.4	15.4	0.00
Luis Scola	40	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	3	-2	16.4	16.8	-0.36	13.5	17.0	-3.51
Chris Copeland	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	4	-4	17.1	16.3	0.75	14.7	15.8	-1.10

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	7	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-4	4	15.9	15.4	0.50	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Jeremy Evans	6	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	4	-12	19.3	15.1	4.21	12.6	16.8	-4.24
Elijah Millsap	34	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.16	1	-5	6	15.1	15.6	-0.55	17.0	16.4	0.68
Ian Clark	34	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	1	-6	14.9	15.7	-0.74	14.8	17.6	-2.73
Trevor Booker	33	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	3	-10	14.7	15.8	-1.11	15.1	17.6	-2.57
Rudy Gobert	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-3	2	15.7	15.0	0.63	17.5	15.4	2.07
Dante Exum	54	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-3	2	15.9	14.7	1.18	17.4	15.3	2.15
Derrick Favors	81	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.55	8	-12	20	15.2	17.3	-2.15	17.0	13.0	4.00
Gordon Hayward	78	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	15.1	17.1	-1.94	16.8	14.8	2.03
Joe Ingles	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	0	-4	15.7	14.3	1.41	16.3	17.7	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 119, NJN 112	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0	95.4%
BOS 103, BKN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.02,0,0	95.2%
TOR 108, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.2%