NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	4.6 [904]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +15.6%
Brooklyn Nets	94		Comeback	1.3 [1132]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (BKN): -8.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.20	0.03	0.07	13	74%	0.16	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	18	46%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
James Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	18	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Willie Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.10	15	62%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	25.8	14.8	26.2	1.8	37.2	129.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +48.9%

BKN -8.7%

BKN -10.1%

BOS +20.6%

BKN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	16.4	14.9	110.8	98.9	105.1
season	13.9	15.0		104.5	101.9
opponent	14.8	15.0		109.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.8	14.7	14.9	15.5	14.2
BKN	17.0	18.0	17.0	13.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	55	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	-4	17	14.4	13.8	0.60	17.1	15.6	1.42
Jae Crowder	67	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	1	7	14.1	14.2	-0.08	16.1	17.4	-1.30
Isaiah Thomas	60	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-1	11	14.6	13.4	1.16	16.3	16.7	-0.41
Kelly Olynyk	64	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-2	13	15.0	12.3	2.71	17.1	15.2	1.98
Evan Turner	72	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	6	-3	14.1	14.5	-0.39	16.8	15.3	1.44
Marcus Smart	46	47	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	13.9	14.4	-0.47	16.0	16.9	-0.96
Jared Sullinger	36	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	13.0	14.9	-1.87	16.0	16.8	-0.78
James Young	26	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	8	-7	14.0	14.3	-0.29	16.5	16.4	0.03
Tyler Zeller	25	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	15	-21	13.9	14.3	-0.34	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Jonas Jerebko	14	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	11	-13	12.7	14.4	-1.72	14.9	16.7	-1.87

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	19	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-13	17	15.4	16.7	-1.28	15.3	13.9	1.38
Andrea Bargnani	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-7	5	18.6	16.2	2.38	15.4	14.1	1.32
Willie Reed	14	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-3	-3	16.5	16.4	0.07	13.0	14.4	-1.40
Wayne Ellington	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-11	13	15.5	17.7	-2.14	13.9	14.6	-0.76
Donald Sloan	44	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-6	3	15.7	17.1	-1.37	14.0	14.3	-0.36
Shane Larkin	52	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	16.8	16.0	0.72	14.4	14.0	0.40
Joe Johnson	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-5	1	16.8	15.6	1.23	14.5	13.4	1.04
Brook Lopez	73	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	16.7	15.7	0.93	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Thaddeus Young	74	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	16.6	15.8	0.81	14.4	13.3	1.14
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	6	-21	16.6	15.9	0.70	13.9	14.8	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 114, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.04,0,0.01,0	95.7%
LAL 107, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
IND 105, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.2%