NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	114		Excitement	5.2 [789]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +24.8%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.3 [803]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -15.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.21	0.05	0.01	17	75%	0.28	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.03
Rafer Alston	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	9	54%	0.13	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	71%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	15	62%	0.10	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	17	45%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Tony Battie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.01	0.02	19	67%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	3	133%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	20	63%	0.12	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	26	52%	0.04	4	-0.09	10	80%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	30.4	16.8	29.7	2.5	43.5	149.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.9%

ORL +19.7%

NYK -1.7%

NYK -3.0%

ORL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	13.5	15.5	114.0	109.0	106.4
season	15.3	13.8		107.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.8	14.0	16.9	16.6	15.3
NYK	14.4	13.7	14.4	11.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	87	89	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-7	19	14.9	17.8	-2.95	13.3	15.5	-2.17
Courtney Lee	75	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.27	2	3	-1	14.4	18.0	-3.57	14.0	12.3	1.63
Dwight Howard	78	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	14.4	18.2	-3.78	14.0	11.9	2.14
Rashard Lewis	77	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	15.2	15.4	-0.14	12.7	16.1	-3.37
Rafer Alston	69	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	5	-5	13.8	18.5	-4.64	13.8	12.8	1.03
Tony Battie	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	0	5	16.6	14.6	1.98	14.5	13.0	1.44
Anthony Johnson	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	0	5	18.5	13.8	4.64	12.8	13.8	-1.03
Marcin Gortat	12	14	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-2	9	17.2	15.0	2.24	12.9	13.6	-0.69
JJ Redick	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	9	-13	17.9	13.7	4.26	13.2	13.7	-0.46

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-7	9	14.5	12.9	1.58	14.1	16.0	-1.86
Chris Wilcox	7	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	2	-9	16.1	13.3	2.82	17.1	15.1	2.01
Danilo Gallinari	27	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-9	13	11.7	14.2	-2.44	15.9	15.0	0.82
Quentin Richardson	24	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.1	1.62	16.6	14.8	1.80
Wilson Chandler	70	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-7	9	13.0	14.7	-1.69	16.1	13.5	2.56
Larry Hughes	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	5	-15	13.0	13.7	-0.78	17.6	14.3	3.25
Chris Duhon	81	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-4	3	13.4	14.1	-0.66	14.6	17.9	-3.31
Al Harrington	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-6	7	13.7	12.9	0.78	14.6	17.9	-3.26
David Lee	70	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	3	-11	14.0	12.4	1.65	15.0	15.9	-0.97
Nate Robinson	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	13.2	14.5	-1.23	15.1	15.8	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.04,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, BKN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.02,0,0	95.7%
PHX 103, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
ATL 103, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%