NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	9.7 [71]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (TOR): +29.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.9 [158]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -26.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.12	-0.01	11	85%	0.36	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.06
Gradey Dick	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29	0.05	0.22	-0.03	13	59%	0.34	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Scottie Barnes	0.24	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.09	0.01	16	70%	0.39	3	-0.15	15	80%	0.02
Ochai Agbaji	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.07	0.01	10	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Battle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ulrich Chomche	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Mogbo	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	31%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	10	68%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	7	64%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	48%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	12	54%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.06,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	0.00	9	25%	-0.06	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.01,-0.11,-0.27	-0.27	0.02	-0.28	0.01	19	53%	-0.02	4	-0.24	13	77%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	28.5	15.4	25.5	1.7	28.6	128.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +59.0%

TOR +8.2%

TOR +3.5%

PHI -27.3%

TOR +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	14.4	105.0	101.0	112.8
season	14.0	15.1		109.5	110.5
opponent	14.2	14.7		115.8	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.6	14.8	13.1	16.0	14.3
PHI	15.2	13.5	13.0	14.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	72	71	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-10	23	14.4	14.1	0.25	14.4	13.3	1.10
Scottie Barnes	78	77	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-7	17	14.5	13.8	0.69	14.2	13.6	0.66
Jonathan Mogbo	45	47	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-8	19	14.0	14.6	-0.65	14.4	13.7	0.72
Ochai Agbaji	58	60	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-5	13	13.5	15.5	-2.00	14.1	13.9	0.22
Gradey Dick	69	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	-2	7	13.8	15.5	-1.69	13.8	14.7	-0.91
Orlando Robinson	31	30	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	-1	5	12.7	15.0	-2.32	13.8	14.2	-0.32
Jamison Battle	17	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	4	-5	14.6	14.2	0.40	15.4	13.8	1.61
Chris Boucher	33	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	10	-17	14.8	14.1	0.65	13.5	14.3	-0.73
Ja'Kobe Walter	42	40	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	9	-15	15.7	13.3	2.35	14.1	14.0	0.11
Ulrich Chomche	25	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.16	-12	15	-27	17.0	13.4	3.51	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Jamal Shead	35	38	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.05	-10	13	-23	14.1	14.5	-0.40	13.2	14.6	-1.44

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Butler	32	32	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.03	8	-11	19	14.6	13.8	0.78	15.4	13.8	1.64
Guerschon Yabusele	45	47	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-9	15	14.3	13.9	0.37	14.9	13.9	1.00
Ricky Council IV	6	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	16.5	13.9	2.59	15.0	14.3	0.73
Justin Edwards	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	4	-11	13.7	14.3	-0.57	13.4	14.8	-1.36
Quentin Grimes	77	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.52	8	-11	19	13.6	15.4	-1.78	14.6	13.5	1.14
Joel Embiid	82	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	14.1	14.0	0.01	14.7	13.0	1.72
Kelly Oubre Jr.	84	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.0	14.1	-0.06	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Paul George	76	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	7	-17	14.2	13.7	0.49	14.2	14.7	-0.45
Tyrese Maxey	73	73	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.43	-15	12	-27	14.0	14.2	-0.16	13.6	16.1	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.21,0.22,0.23,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, CLE 96	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	90.7%
UTA 104, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,0	90.5%
BOS 111, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	90.4%