NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	8.5 [167]		MVP	Kyle Korver (UTA): +18.7%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	2.2 [587]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): -21.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.12	0.02	5	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	16	58%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.02	11	71%	0.17	2	-0.13	6	67%	-0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.01	6	60%	0.14	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Ronnie Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	11	55%	0.00	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	14	53%	0.03	4	-0.20	4	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	7	78%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.32,0.19,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.10	0.00	11	75%	0.19	3	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	10	60%	0.12	4	-0.15	5	100%	0.04
Charles Hayes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	4	45%	0.02	3	-0.19	3	100%	0.04
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	10	15%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.01	17	47%	-0.10	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	28.5	15.8	27.2	2.3	32.5	134.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +65.5%

HOU -18.4%

HOU -2.8%

UTA +7.4%

HOU -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	14.0	15.3	103.0	93.1	106.0
season	15.3	15.0		109.5	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.4	16.4	12.5	13.5	14.3
HOU	13.5	14.2	13.7	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	75	77	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-8	25	13.8	15.8	-2.02	14.5	12.6	1.95
Andrei Kirilenko	73	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-4	17	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.5	12.8	1.65
Kyle Korver	36	36	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-2	13	12.9	15.2	-2.26	14.1	14.0	0.17
Deron Williams	76	77	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-1	11	14.1	15.0	-0.92	14.4	12.8	1.63
Paul Millsap	68	70	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	9	-9	14.6	13.9	0.65	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Mehmet Okur	59	57	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	8	-7	14.8	13.8	1.00	13.7	14.5	-0.78
Ronnie Brewer	68	68	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	3	3	14.1	14.9	-0.84	14.1	13.8	0.35
Ronnie Price	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	10	-11	15.0	14.1	0.92	12.8	14.4	-1.63
Wesley Matthews	14	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	15	-21	17.6	13.8	3.83	12.6	14.3	-1.69
CJ Miles	11	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	15	-21	18.1	13.9	4.20	11.8	14.3	-2.48

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	50	49	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-8	7	14.3	13.7	0.57	15.3	13.4	1.90
Garrett Temple	37	35	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-13	17	12.8	14.8	-2.00	15.4	13.8	1.57
Charles Hayes	39	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-6	3	14.0	14.0	-0.05	14.4	14.3	0.06
David Andersen	49	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-13	17	14.5	13.6	0.89	14.9	13.8	1.07
Carl Landry	51	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-6	3	14.4	13.6	0.76	15.2	13.5	1.69
Shane Battier	77	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	14.2	13.4	0.89	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Aaron Brooks	65	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.14	-13	4	-17	14.8	12.8	2.00	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Luis Scola	65	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	7	-23	13.4	15.1	-1.74	13.2	16.3	-3.04
Trevor Ariza	77	78	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	0	-9	13.6	15.3	-1.66	13.9	15.8	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	92.5%
PHX 104, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.3,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.31,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.04,0	91.7%
SEA 114, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	91.5%