NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	7.7 [287]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +39.6%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	2.0 [310]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -43.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.15	0.25	0.00	10	83%	0.42	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17	0.01	0.13	-0.03	17	57%	0.26	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	9	73%	0.20	4	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Lou Amundson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.22	-0.01	-0.18	0.02	7	74%	0.08	6	-0.29	5	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	4	92%	0.24	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	9	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	1	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	13	55%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Randolph Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	13	19%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.17	0.01	18	50%	-0.05	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.3,-0.35,-0.42,-0.42,-0.43	-0.43	-0.20	-0.26	-0.02	20	33%	-0.23	5	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.1	1.8	36.2	16.3	29.4	2.4	33.6	152.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +75.6%

PHX +2.5%

ATL -14.7%

ATL -17.8%

PHX +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.5	107.2	102.1	106.4
season	14.1	15.8		112.1	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.5		106.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.6	14.2	15.8	17.6	14.9
ATL	13.5	16.5	14.2	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	75	77	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.21	20	-15	35	15.0	14.7	0.26	15.8	10.6	5.18
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	88	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-10	25	14.7	17.3	-2.64	14.6	16.1	-1.49
Jason Richardson	79	80	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-6	17	14.9	14.9	-0.02	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Steve Nash	66	66	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.32	14	-9	23	14.3	16.4	-2.10	15.4	13.4	2.02
Leandro Barbosa	59	59	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.44	-3	8	-11	15.7	13.8	1.87	14.4	15.3	-0.95
Grant Hill	51	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.22	4	1	3	13.4	16.6	-3.20	16.1	13.4	2.66
Matt Barnes	40	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	17	-29	16.0	14.2	1.82	13.3	15.8	-2.52
Lou Amundson	18	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	16	-27	15.3	14.8	0.50	11.6	15.4	-3.83
Jared Dudley	10	11	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.05	-13	18	-31	19.7	14.4	5.32	11.8	15.1	-3.32

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	35	34	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-13	21	13.2	15.6	-2.40	16.6	14.0	2.51
Randolph Morris	12	12	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-9	13	16.2	14.6	1.60	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Ronald Murray	51	51	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.15	8	-13	21	14.5	15.1	-0.66	15.2	14.6	0.65
Othello Hunter	2	2	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-3	1	25.5	14.5	10.96	6.5	15.1	-8.61
Solomon Jones	44	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-11	17	12.6	16.5	-3.93	17.2	13.1	4.14
Zaza Pachulia	34	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	12	-29	16.9	13.6	3.26	12.9	16.0	-3.15
Marvin Williams	74	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-5	5	15.3	13.2	2.08	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Joe Johnson	87	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-3	1	15.2	11.0	4.20	14.6	18.2	-3.65
Mike Bibby	59	60	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	10	-25	14.1	15.7	-1.60	15.1	14.7	0.36
Josh Smith	87	88	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	10	-25	15.0	13.1	1.85	14.5	19.3	-4.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.3,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.31,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,0	91.7%
ORL 103, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.37,0.15,0.08,0	91.5%
UTA 82, MEM 73	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.66,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.03,0,0	91.3%