NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	7.3 [412]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +12.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	73		Comeback	1.9 [529]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -42.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.05	0.01	13	63%	0.18	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
Rudy Gobert	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	9	84%	0.20	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.06
Boris Diaw	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	5	92%	0.20	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	6	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shelvin Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.01	7	59%	0.09	4	-0.10	3	0%	-0.09
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Dante Exum	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	16	31%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	6	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	7	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	16	34%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	13	43%	-0.02	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.27,-0.33,-0.37,-0.31,-0.31,-0.37,-0.44,-0.41,-0.43,-0.43	-0.43	-0.27	-0.18	-0.02	22	18%	-0.30	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	30.2	15.4	27.4	2.3	34.5	136.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +103.7%

MEM -11.1%

MEM -40.6%

MEM -3.2%

UTA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	17.8	14.8	94.3	83.9	107.7
season	16.1	16.1		108.0	106.4
opponent	14.9	15.0		106.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	16.6	14.0	15.0	15.3
MEM	16.3	16.9	17.9	20.2	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	59	61	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.21	24	-15	39	15.9	14.1	1.81	17.7	18.0	-0.33
Boris Diaw	55	54	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.10	16	-7	23	15.8	14.5	1.37	17.5	18.2	-0.71
Rudy Gobert	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-7	23	15.8	13.5	2.31	18.2	16.3	1.93
Gordon Hayward	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-5	19	15.7	13.9	1.84	17.4	19.2	-1.84
Shelvin Mack	52	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	1	7	14.0	17.3	-3.31	18.8	16.1	2.75
Dante Exum	27	25	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	5	-1	17.5	14.3	3.17	16.2	18.4	-2.26
Derrick Favors	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	15	-21	14.0	15.9	-1.87	18.4	17.5	0.83
Trey Lyles	21	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.15	-9	18	-27	13.2	16.0	-2.76	16.5	18.2	-1.64
Joe Johnson	36	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	19	-29	14.8	15.7	-0.85	17.7	17.8	-0.16
Joe Ingles	24	22	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.09	-12	21	-33	14.6	15.6	-1.04	18.6	17.5	1.10

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Harrison	43	43	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.11	14	-23	37	18.7	16.9	1.79	14.2	16.4	-2.18
James Ennis III	30	28	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-16	23	17.0	18.2	-1.18	15.4	15.3	0.09
Troy Williams	10	11	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-13	17	14.9	18.1	-3.24	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Jarell Martin	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-9	9	18.9	17.3	1.58	15.2	15.4	-0.17
JaMychal Green	59	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	17.1	19.2	-2.18	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Vince Carter	32	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-13	17	16.9	18.3	-1.32	14.4	15.9	-1.56
Troy Daniels	18	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-2	-5	17.7	17.8	-0.13	16.3	15.0	1.32
Zach Randolph	40	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-12	15	18.9	16.8	2.05	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Tony Allen	62	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.06	-21	12	-33	17.7	17.9	-0.21	15.8	14.3	1.41
Marc Gasol	65	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	9	-27	18.2	16.6	1.58	15.8	14.0	1.81
Mike Conley	52	51	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.10	-24	15	-39	17.6	18.1	-0.53	16.0	14.4	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.66,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.06,0.09,0	91.9%
SEA 114, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	91.8%
PHX 104, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.3,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.31,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.04,0	91.3%