NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	74		Excitement	8.2 [248]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +12.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	71		Comeback	1.8 [378]		LVP	Jason Hart (CHA): -37.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	2	150%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.08	0.00	4	80%	0.13	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Michael Curry	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	13	52%	0.16	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	24	44%	0.03	3	-0.11	7	86%	0.03
Reggie Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	8	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	7	22%	-0.07	1	-0.06	4	0%	-0.07
Austin Croshere	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	14	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	17	42%	-0.06	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	7	53%	-0.04	1	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	11	45%	-0.03	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3,-0.38	-0.38	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	8	12%	-0.20	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	27.3	15.7	24.0	1.6	33.3	128.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.7%

IND +22.8%

CHA -34.7%

IND +21.5%

CHA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	17.7	15.5	85.1	82.6	104.0
season	16.8	15.5		101.9	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	15.0	16.7	17.1	15.6
CHA	17.4	17.0	18.5	18.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	71	70	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-10	23	14.5	20.4	-5.87	18.1	16.0	2.11
Reggie Miller	62	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-5	13	16.0	14.7	1.27	18.0	17.0	1.03
Jermaine O'Neal	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-3	9	16.1	13.7	2.43	17.9	17.3	0.59
Jeff Foster	49	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	0	3	15.0	16.4	-1.39	17.6	17.9	-0.30
Fred Jones	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.50	-8	11	-19	15.9	15.0	0.94	16.9	19.2	-2.29
David Harrison	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	1	1	16.8	14.7	2.04	17.9	17.6	0.30
Austin Croshere	18	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	4	-5	14.3	15.9	-1.58	17.3	17.9	-0.59
Michael Curry	39	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	1	1	15.5	15.7	-0.23	18.6	17.1	1.49
Anthony Johnson	37	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.18	-10	13	-23	15.9	15.3	0.58	16.8	18.4	-1.53

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	36	35	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.10	3	-6	9	17.8	17.6	0.19	15.4	15.7	-0.36
Jason Kapono	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-5	7	17.1	18.0	-0.93	15.1	15.8	-0.78
Theron Smith	19	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-3	3	16.6	18.0	-1.47	15.8	15.5	0.33
Kareem Rush	31	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	1	-5	18.0	17.6	0.44	15.7	15.5	0.13
Steven Smith	35	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-7	11	16.9	18.3	-1.41	15.1	15.9	-0.74
Gerald Wallace	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-3	3	17.6	18.2	-0.56	15.5	15.9	-0.44
Melvin Ely	56	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	4	-11	18.2	16.7	1.52	15.9	14.9	1.05
Emeka Okafor	71	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	5	-13	18.3	15.2	3.05	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Jason Hart	70	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.40	-8	5	-13	18.2	15.6	2.65	15.6	15.4	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,0	92.5%
CLE 96, OKC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.02,0	92.1%
MEM 99, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	91.9%