NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	8.2 [175]		MVP	Anthony Parker (CLE): +13.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	90		Comeback	2.5 [115]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -30.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.08	0.03	8	78%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.08,0.07	-0.07	0.11	-0.03	12	35%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.02	3	90%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	73%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	0.00	6	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Alonzo Gee	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Samardo Samuels	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	25	40%	-0.07	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	8	28%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	-0.00	8	76%	0.14	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.13	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	17	53%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.06
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.29,-0.3	-0.30	-0.05	-0.20	0.06	18	55%	-0.08	6	-0.22	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.5	26.7	15.7	22.6	2.5	32.2	128.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -13.5%

CLE +4.3%

CLE +48.4%

CLE +12.0%

OKC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	OKC	NBA	CLE	OKC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.6	15.6	101.1	95.7	102.8
season	15.5	14.7		99.5	107.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.7	17.7	16.3	15.9	15.8
OKC	15.1	15.0	14.9	13.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	55	54	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-4	14	15.5	16.3	-0.90	14.3	15.0	-0.72
Daniel Gibson	44	42	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	0	6	15.2	16.4	-1.17	14.3	14.9	-0.68
Alonzo Gee	73	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-2	10	14.9	18.8	-3.89	14.1	16.6	-2.55
Kyrie Irving	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	2	2	15.6	16.2	-0.58	14.0	16.0	-2.02
Antawn Jamison	69	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	6	-6	15.6	16.4	-0.81	13.9	16.6	-2.62
Samardo Samuels	26	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	0	6	16.4	15.6	0.81	16.6	13.9	2.62
Ryan Hollins	39	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	1	4	15.3	16.2	-0.98	15.4	14.1	1.33
Omri Casspi	22	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	8	-10	18.8	14.9	3.89	16.6	14.1	2.55
Ramon Sessions	41	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	7	-8	16.6	15.2	1.37	15.5	14.0	1.46
Tristan Thompson	44	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	12	-18	17.0	14.8	2.18	14.9	14.4	0.45

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daequan Cook	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-1	-4	15.6	14.2	1.41	14.6	16.4	-1.85
Serge Ibaka	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-4	2	15.2	14.1	1.06	16.0	15.7	0.31
Reggie Jackson	28	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-5	4	16.4	13.9	2.55	16.2	15.6	0.59
Nick Collison	36	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-5	4	15.8	13.9	1.94	16.8	15.2	1.60
Nazr Mohammed	28	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-2	-2	16.7	13.7	3.01	15.7	15.9	-0.14
Kendrick Perkins	63	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-5	4	13.6	16.7	-3.14	15.8	15.9	-0.17
Russell Westbrook	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	13.9	16.4	-2.55	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Kevin Durant	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	14.4	15.5	-1.18	15.5	16.8	-1.28
James Harden	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-5	4	14.2	15.6	-1.41	16.4	14.6	1.85
Royal Ivey	39	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	13.6	15.4	-1.84	15.4	16.1	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	92.1%
DAL 112, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.16,0	91.7%
PHX 133, GSW 131	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.72,0.43,0.08,0	91.4%