NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	6.8 [499]		MVP	Jaden McDaniels (MIN): +23.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Comeback	10.2 [240]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (POR): -14.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Murray	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Robert Williams III	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	9	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	21	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	14	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	8	36%	-0.04	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Jerami Grant	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	15	41%	0.06	4	-0.18	4	100%	0.04
Deandre Ayton	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	37%	-0.05	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.09	0.05	17	73%	0.26	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.11	0.00	16	68%	0.29	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	6	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.01	0.10	13	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Rob Dillingham	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	12	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	33.3	15.3	26.6	2.5	35.2	137.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +61.7%

POR -9.6%

POR -15.4%

MIN +12.8%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	14.9	13.3	14.4	96.1	111.8	113.1
season	14.3	14.7		110.3	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.2	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	14.4	14.5	15.2	14.9
MIN	12.8	12.3	14.2	14.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Murray	25	24	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.03	15	-31	46	15.2	14.8	0.45	14.4	13.0	1.42
Robert Williams III	17	18	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.17	16	-32	48	13.3	15.2	-1.93	13.3	13.3	-0.07
Deni Avdija	50	51	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-14	12	14.1	15.7	-1.65	13.2	13.4	-0.20
Scoot Henderson	55	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-10	4	14.9	14.9	0.02	14.2	12.3	1.93
Donovan Clingan	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-10	4	14.2	15.0	-0.74	14.3	13.2	1.05
Anfernee Simons	75	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-7	-2	14.5	15.9	-1.39	12.8	14.8	-2.00
Shaedon Sharpe	57	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	1	-18	15.2	14.6	0.58	13.6	13.0	0.69
Jerami Grant	79	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	4	-24	14.9	14.9	-0.01	13.3	13.3	0.05
Deandre Ayton	68	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.02	-23	7	-30	15.8	13.1	2.76	13.0	14.0	-0.96
Toumani Camara	72	73	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.09	-28	12	-40	15.2	14.3	0.90	12.8	14.7	-1.85

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Reid	80	81	0.73	-0.23	0.97	-0.12	29	-13	42	13.3	13.5	-0.21	15.3	13.5	1.80
Rudy Gobert	79	79	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.11	20	-4	24	13.4	13.0	0.49	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Jaden McDaniels	79	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	2	12	13.1	14.0	-0.86	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Rob Dillingham	50	52	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	8	0	13.9	12.8	1.11	14.7	15.1	-0.35
Jaylen Clark	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	6	4	13.4	13.2	0.24	14.8	15.1	-0.24
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	82	81	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.31	22	-6	28	12.9	14.9	-2.01	14.9	14.8	0.18
Joe Ingles	28	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	17	-18	12.8	13.5	-0.71	16.1	14.5	1.61
Luka Garza	15	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	20	-24	13.6	13.3	0.31	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Terrence Shannon Jr.	29	27	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.17	-18	34	-52	14.0	13.1	0.93	14.0	15.2	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.59,0.73,0.89,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.92,0.97,1,1	92.5%
DEN 94, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.96,1,1	91.6%
IND 119, MIL 132	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.52,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.88,1,1,1	90.8%