NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	7.8 [377]		MVP	Dalano Banton (TOR): +16.9%
Indiana Pacers	118		Comeback	8.4 [265]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -17.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalano Banton	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	8	78%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
O.G. Anunoby	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	16	67%	0.27	4	-0.13	7	86%	0.02
Christian Koloko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.03	17	46%	0.06	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.01	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	16	25%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	13	19%	-0.15	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	8	79%	0.18	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	10	58%	0.19	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.00	5	100%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	11	67%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.10	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Terry Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.08	15	69%	0.08	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	14	28%	-0.04	3	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	2.4	29.7	14.7	27.3	1.8	30.6	137.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +65.6%

TOR -8.8%

IND +6.1%

TOR -15.9%

IND +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	13.2	14.4	102.0	115.7	113.4
season	14.7	13.7		114.0	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		116.4	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.0	13.2	18.3	15.2	15.1
IND	12.2	14.0	11.2	15.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Flynn	47	48	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.03	10	-24	34	15.1	15.1	0.03	13.5	12.9	0.59
Dalano Banton	27	27	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-18	22	15.8	14.8	0.96	12.5	13.4	-0.88
Christian Koloko	11	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-15	16	16.8	14.9	1.96	10.9	13.5	-2.57
Juancho Hernangomez	35	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-10	6	15.2	15.0	0.16	11.5	14.0	-2.50
Chris Boucher	61	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-11	8	13.9	16.8	-2.86	13.2	13.1	0.03
Thaddeus Young	71	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.10	-13	-1	-12	15.0	15.3	-0.32	13.9	11.6	2.29
Otto Porter Jr.	53	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	16.0	14.1	1.90	14.4	11.8	2.60
O.G. Anunoby	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	3	-20	14.9	15.4	-0.48	13.3	12.9	0.38
Gary Trent Jr.	44	44	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.06	-17	3	-20	15.4	14.8	0.52	11.9	14.1	-2.21
Scottie Barnes	85	83	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.12	-18	4	-22	14.9	16.1	-1.26	13.4	12.2	1.24

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Haliburton	81	81	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.05	26	-12	38	13.4	12.2	1.17	15.7	12.6	3.08
Bennedict Mathurin	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	7	0	14.3	11.5	2.85	14.7	15.6	-0.82
T.J. McConnell	39	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	12	-10	13.6	12.9	0.68	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Oshae Brissett	33	34	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	11	-8	12.2	13.6	-1.46	14.4	15.4	-0.99
Isaiah Jackson	46	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	14	-14	13.0	13.3	-0.38	14.8	15.2	-0.40
Jalen Smith	53	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	5	4	13.0	13.3	-0.31	15.6	14.5	1.11
Myles Turner	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	0	14	13.3	13.0	0.38	15.2	14.8	0.40
Buddy Hield	59	59	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	4	6	13.2	13.1	0.09	15.5	14.5	0.96
Andrew Nembhard	46	46	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.15	5	9	-4	12.2	13.9	-1.73	16.0	14.3	1.74
Terry Taylor	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	16	-18	0.0	13.3	-13.30	12.0	15.1	-3.10
Aaron Nesmith	35	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	18	-22	12.9	13.3	-0.47	13.0	16.1	-3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.92,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.96,1,1	92.1%
GSW 100, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.75,0.89,0.89,0.92,1	91.7%
SAS 78, CLE 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	91.5%