NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	78		Excitement	6.8 [474]		MVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): +26.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	82		Comeback	5.4 [164]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -19.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	4	80%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Michael Finley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	44%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	15	47%	0.01	4	-0.12	8	75%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.04	0.03	8	29%	-0.08	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Tony Parker	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2	0.02	-0.13	0.09	18	65%	0.04	6	-0.24	4	100%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.21	-0.01	12	64%	0.34	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	5	57%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.09	0.03	5	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.09
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	17	42%	-0.04	3	-0.09	11	45%	-0.06
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	19%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	13	31%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	27.4	17.7	26.1	2.5	43.2	143.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +27.1%

SAS -0.0%

CLE +4.5%

CLE +23.4%

SAS -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	15.9	15.4	87.6	92.1	104.5
season	16.2	16.0		107.5	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		99.6	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.4	16.9	18.0	14.1	16.5
CLE	15.3	15.8	18.0	14.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	48	49	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.24	10	-14	24	14.7	18.5	-3.81	15.6	16.2	-0.54
Fabricio Oberto	20	19	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-5	6	17.1	16.3	0.80	15.1	16.1	-1.05
Michael Finley	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-1	-2	18.4	16.1	2.31	14.9	16.1	-1.12
Beno Udrih	24	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	17.4	16.2	1.22	16.3	15.7	0.57
Manu Ginobili	56	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-3	2	15.6	18.0	-2.36	14.7	17.9	-3.28
Tony Parker	68	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	16.1	17.7	-1.61	15.7	16.5	-0.83
Bruce Bowen	58	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	0	-4	17.2	15.2	2.03	17.3	12.9	4.41
Tim Duncan	69	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	1	-6	16.3	17.1	-0.80	16.1	15.1	1.05
Brent Barry	47	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	0	-4	16.2	16.8	-0.66	15.9	15.9	0.03
Matt Bonner	41	40	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.18	-13	9	-22	18.5	14.7	3.81	16.2	15.6	0.54

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	49	48	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.45	10	-6	16	16.0	15.7	0.37	16.3	16.7	-0.37
Damon Jones	41	41	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.45	9	-5	14	15.6	16.1	-0.45	15.8	17.1	-1.26
Donyell Marshall	30	31	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-2	8	16.5	15.6	0.89	17.2	16.1	1.14
Larry Hughes	69	70	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	3	-2	16.0	15.4	0.55	15.6	19.7	-4.14
LeBron James	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	15.7	16.9	-1.19	16.7	15.3	1.38
Daniel Gibson	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	5	-6	15.9	15.9	0.03	18.6	16.2	2.38
Sasha Pavlovic	15	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	4	-4	15.7	15.9	-0.25	18.4	16.1	2.31
Drew Gooden	42	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.06	-1	5	-6	15.9	15.8	0.10	17.1	15.9	1.16
Eric Snow	61	62	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	7	-10	15.5	16.6	-1.12	16.1	17.3	-1.22
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	53	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	9	-14	16.1	15.5	0.60	16.6	16.3	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 78, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.98,1	93.5%
HOU 94, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.99,1	93.0%
CHI 101, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.32,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.63,0.69,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1	92.7%