NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	7.3 [328]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +47.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	102		Comeback	5.0 [310]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -25.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.07	-0.02	7	56%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
David Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	15	60%	0.08	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	14	37%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	16	50%	-0.08	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.09

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.31	0.22	0.05	22	78%	0.55	2	-0.08	11	91%	0.04
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	12	56%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	13	66%	0.07	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.09	0.01	10	32%	-0.10	4	-0.15	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	29.1	15.4	23.2	2.5	36.2	133.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +57.5%

HOU -4.3%

HOU -15.3%

CHA +14.2%

HOU -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	15.3	101.1	114.6	106.0
season	15.0	16.2		106.0	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	13.5	16.3	15.4	15.4
CHA	14.8	16.5	15.7	18.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-12	16	15.1	15.5	-0.42	15.7	16.6	-0.86
David Andersen	23	22	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-11	14	15.2	15.5	-0.30	16.7	16.1	0.55
Charles Hayes	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-5	2	17.3	14.4	2.97	15.3	16.8	-1.54
Carl Landry	48	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-7	6	15.0	15.9	-0.91	15.7	16.9	-1.14
Kyle Lowry	52	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-4	0	14.6	16.5	-1.91	16.8	15.6	1.13
Luis Scola	69	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	1	-10	15.3	15.7	-0.36	16.0	16.9	-0.87
Shane Battier	61	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-3	-2	15.4	15.3	0.08	17.7	13.5	4.18
Aaron Brooks	73	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	6	-20	15.6	14.5	1.08	16.2	16.5	-0.27
Trevor Ariza	75	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	3	-14	15.5	15.2	0.29	15.9	17.6	-1.61

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	81	86	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-4	16	15.8	21.5	-5.75	15.5	13.7	1.82
Ronald Murray	50	53	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	0	8	17.3	14.9	2.35	14.3	16.8	-2.50
Gerald Wallace	89	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	16.3	0.0	16.27	15.4	0.0	15.40
Boris Diaw	86	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	1	6	16.3	15.3	0.97	15.3	18.7	-3.38
Raymond Felton	65	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	-1	10	15.2	19.3	-4.14	16.0	13.8	2.26
D.J. Augustin	28	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	7	-6	18.4	15.3	3.15	14.0	16.1	-2.05
Nazr Mohammed	35	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	10	-12	15.1	17.0	-1.86	17.0	14.4	2.61
DeSagana Diop	11	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	11	-14	19.8	15.8	4.05	15.2	15.4	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 78, CLE 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	93.0%
CLE 93, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,1,1	92.5%
MEM 98, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.9,0.75,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.1%