NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	7.3 [373]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +23.3%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	5.0 [507]		LVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): -15.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	16	56%	0.13	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.03,0.03	0.17	-0.09	0.06	16	75%	0.11	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.09
Stephen Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	13	48%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Jason Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.09	0.01	18	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	10	50%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.14	0.02	9	76%	0.26	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.02	12	66%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	8	44%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	86%	0.18	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.03	18	62%	0.13	4	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	14	33%	0.04	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	4	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	32.2	15.4	26.4	2.4	36.4	138.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.6%

UTA +23.6%

UTA +19.6%

GSW -27.0%

UTA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.9	15.4	107.5	111.8	104.5
season	13.5	15.9		105.7	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	11.1	15.3	16.6	14.0
UTA	15.4	20.2	15.3	16.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	19	19	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.02	6	-10	16	10.9	14.8	-3.86	18.4	16.6	1.79
Matt Barnes	32	32	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-7	10	13.2	14.5	-1.32	19.2	15.8	3.42
Josh Powell	7	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-5	6	12.0	14.2	-2.19	24.6	16.3	8.25
Kelenna Azubuike	6	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-2	0	10.8	14.2	-3.41	17.0	16.9	0.06
Baron Davis	48	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.41	10	-14	24	14.0	14.1	-0.13	17.7	16.2	1.53
Monta Ellis	49	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	4	-12	14.6	13.4	1.25	17.1	16.8	0.28
Al Harrington	80	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.42	2	-6	8	14.6	10.2	4.50	16.9	16.9	0.02
Jason Richardson	72	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	4	-12	14.7	11.9	2.80	16.4	18.7	-2.28
Stephen Jackson	70	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.21	-15	11	-26	13.8	14.7	-0.90	15.8	20.5	-4.71
Andris Biedrins	82	83	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.44	-9	5	-14	14.2	12.8	1.36	16.0	24.8	-8.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	71	71	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.36	18	-14	32	15.9	20.2	-4.30	15.0	11.0	4.02
Carlos Boozer	78	78	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-8	20	15.9	22.4	-6.50	14.5	11.6	2.89
Deron Williams	79	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-3	10	16.7	18.5	-1.83	14.5	11.4	3.05
Paul Millsap	44	44	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	1	2	18.2	15.8	2.43	13.7	14.3	-0.69
Matt Harpring	46	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.47	-5	9	-14	18.9	15.0	3.85	13.7	14.3	-0.60
Mehmet Okur	53	52	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	4	-4	16.0	18.2	-2.29	14.2	13.7	0.52
Derek Fisher	62	63	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	4	-4	16.0	18.8	-2.84	13.7	14.7	-1.05
Jarron Collins	9	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	10	-16	23.6	16.2	7.32	10.4	14.4	-3.96
Ronnie Brewer	23	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.01	-9	13	-22	20.5	15.8	4.69	11.0	15.0	-3.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.75,0.89,0.89,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,1	92.4%
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	91.9%
DET 81, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.66,0.53,0.79,0.85,0.99,1	91.6%