inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 85 Excitement7.0 [332] MVPAnthony Tolliver (MIN): +21.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves 93 Comeback6.2 [444] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -14.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.210,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.140.05-0.022363%0.241-0.0300%0.00
Ben Gordon0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.070.000.06-0.011553%0.122-0.05475%0.01
Damien Wilkins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Daye0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.011148%0.031-0.05560%-0.01
Ben Wallace-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.001100%0.023-0.0700%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.00240%-0.044-0.08633%-0.11
Brandon Knight-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13-0.15-0.01-0.031129%-0.064-0.07250%-0.03
Rodney Stuckey-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.080.001236%-0.101-0.05425%-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.110.110.00692%0.2200.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.08-0.00570%0.1200.0000%0.00
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.10.100.070.01-0.02669%0.1000.00450%0.01
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.030.00657%0.092-0.062100%0.01
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.02-0.00642%0.0200.00757%-0.04
Kevin Love0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.04-0.002043%0.042-0.04683%0.01
Nikola Pekovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01669%0.064-0.08475%-0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.02-0.021033%0.012-0.041100%0.01
Anthony Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00050%-0.002-0.05250%-0.01
Ricky Rubio0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.010.00837%-0.023-0.09887%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.530.315.424.81.538.7137.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +15.5%
MIN +28.0%
MIN +0.8%
MIN +12.8%
DET -7.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMINNBADETMINNBA
this game16.214.515.692.496.9102.8
season16.315.399.5102.6
opponent15.115.4104.7104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.115.916.715.016.2
MIN15.014.214.614.414.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Daye12-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-884.016.3-12.3011.014.6-3.59
Ben Wallace3839-0.11-0.390.280.07-6-2-416.615.90.7514.214.8-0.60
Tayshaun Prince7982-0.22-0.280.06-0.220-8816.116.8-0.7114.813.01.77
Damien Wilkins1415-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-2-416.116.2-0.0212.115.0-2.82
Rodney Stuckey5254-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-1-7616.216.10.0714.314.8-0.45
Jason Maxiell4345-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.321-91016.515.90.5714.714.40.29
Greg Monroe5256-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.14-6-2-416.815.31.4814.914.00.92
Jonas Jerebko4949-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.14-7-1-615.317.2-1.8814.714.40.29
Ben Gordon6568-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-146-2015.916.7-0.8214.314.9-0.59
Brandon Knight6770-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.37-1-7616.415.60.7714.813.71.17

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Pekovic45430.68-0.180.850.2415-72214.114.9-0.7517.914.73.23
Kevin Love85820.67-0.170.840.2016-82414.216.8-2.6116.315.01.30
Wayne Ellington37350.62-0.120.740.4171614.814.40.4014.617.1-2.52
Anthony Tolliver56530.61-0.110.710.3110-21214.015.2-1.1415.317.4-2.08
Ricky Rubio74710.52-0.020.540.2011-31414.016.2-2.1716.714.32.37
Jose Juan Barea30290.080.42-0.34-0.0135-214.214.7-0.5015.216.6-1.35
Derrick Williams3431-0.070.57-0.630.02-311-1414.714.40.2615.116.7-1.56
Wesley Johnson4342-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-210-1214.714.40.2516.416.00.36
Darko Milicic1414-0.100.60-0.690.02-412-1616.914.12.7517.016.00.99
Anthony Randolph1212-0.180.68-0.860.06-816-2415.514.41.1312.716.7-4.02
Luke Ridnour5149-0.220.72-0.95-0.08-513-1815.313.71.5917.015.21.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 100, UTA 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.75,0.89,0.89,0.92,192.4%
GSW 95, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.77,0.89,0.99,1,1,192.0%
MEM 98, POR 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.9,0.75,0.93,0.98,1,192.0%