NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	6.9 [435]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +27.1%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	9.2 [149]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -23.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	67%	0.16	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Ognjen Kuzmic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.01	14	67%	0.11	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Marreese Speights	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	20	64%	0.16	10	-0.26	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	10%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.20	0.02	12	70%	0.34	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.08	0.04	13	55%	0.13	3	-0.07	14	93%	0.09
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	14	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	6	17%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.07	0.00	9	36%	-0.08	6	-0.16	4	0%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	32.5	15.7	30.9	2.3	34.3	141.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -12.8%

PHX +25.8%

PHX +20.6%

PHX +15.0%

PHX +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	15.1	92.2	104.9	104.2
season	13.6	14.4		109.2	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.9	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.1	15.2	15.2	15.3	14.1
PHX	13.7	15.4	13.0	14.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	14	14	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.06	7	-19	26	13.0	14.2	-1.25	16.4	13.6	2.71
Festus Ezeli	24	22	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-11	10	13.5	14.2	-0.70	12.9	14.3	-1.42
Ognjen Kuzmic	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	13.3	14.1	-0.77	14.5	14.0	0.50
Shaun Livingston	41	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-10	8	14.2	14.0	0.24	13.4	14.4	-1.01
Stephen Curry	73	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-6	0	13.7	14.9	-1.21	14.3	13.3	0.99
Marreese Speights	26	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-5	-2	13.8	14.2	-0.31	14.2	14.0	0.24
Andrew Bogut	53	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-8	4	14.4	13.7	0.73	14.4	13.6	0.79
Draymond Green	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-1	-10	13.6	15.6	-2.06	14.5	12.7	1.77
Leandro Barbosa	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	14.2	13.9	0.29	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Andre Iguodala	67	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	3	-18	14.3	13.7	0.55	14.0	14.0	0.03
Harrison Barnes	70	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.22	-13	1	-14	14.9	12.3	2.57	13.3	15.5	-2.22

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	75	72	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.12	19	-7	26	14.6	12.4	2.19	14.4	13.3	1.08
PJ Tucker	62	64	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.04	24	-12	36	13.3	15.2	-1.90	14.4	13.6	0.79
Isaiah Thomas	56	56	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-4	20	13.6	14.5	-0.95	14.7	13.3	1.43
Gerald Green	39	40	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-7	26	13.3	14.5	-1.19	15.2	13.3	1.88
Marcus Morris	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	14.2	13.6	0.59	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Archie Goodwin	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	17.5	13.9	3.55	15.0	14.1	0.94
TJ Warren	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	17.5	13.9	3.55	15.0	14.1	0.94
Anthony Tolliver	21	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	16	-20	13.5	14.1	-0.62	15.0	13.8	1.13
Alex Len	16	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	18	-24	12.7	14.3	-1.58	13.7	14.2	-0.43
Markieff Morris	54	53	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	17	-22	14.6	13.4	1.14	13.6	14.6	-1.02
Eric Bledsoe	47	47	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	18	-24	14.8	13.4	1.42	13.3	14.7	-1.43
Goran Dragic	64	66	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	16	-20	14.0	14.1	-0.18	13.0	15.9	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.77,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 78, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.98,1	93.1%
SAS 78, CLE 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	92.6%
WAS 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.89,0.98,1	92.1%