NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	109		Excitement	4.4 [941]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +18.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	121		Comeback	1.2 [1318]		LVP	Immanuel Quickley (TOR): -9.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gradey Dick	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	9	71%	0.07	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jamison Battle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.01	0.08	5	110%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	63%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Boucher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.05	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Mogbo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.05	8	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Shead	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	20	50%	0.03	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Ochai Agbaji	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	12	66%	0.23	2	-0.04	14	100%	0.05
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.01	7	86%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.05	7	114%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	14	58%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	19	56%	0.08	3	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Alex Ducas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Flagler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Branden Carlson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chet Holmgren	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.5	27.4	14.6	30.2	2.5	32.3	138.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +28.2%

OKC +23.8%

TOR -2.9%

OKC +3.9%

TOR -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	OKC	NBA	TOR	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	14.4	114.7	123.5	113.0
season	13.9	13.8		109.0	117.4
opponent	14.7	14.6		105.6	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.4	15.2	16.0	13.8	15.3
OKC	14.9	15.5	14.1	13.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamison Battle	31	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-14	16	13.5	16.1	-2.62	15.2	14.3	0.87
Ja'Kobe Walter	44	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-18	24	14.6	15.9	-1.29	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Scottie Barnes	69	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-4	-4	15.6	14.3	1.29	14.2	15.6	-1.45
Immanuel Quickley	54	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-7	2	16.2	14.0	2.22	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Orlando Robinson	32	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-7	2	15.2	15.3	-0.15	14.7	14.5	0.18
Chris Boucher	30	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-3	-6	16.4	14.8	1.68	14.2	14.7	-0.55
Jonathan Mogbo	56	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-9	6	15.5	15.0	0.44	14.6	14.5	0.06
Gradey Dick	55	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-6	0	15.5	14.9	0.58	15.0	13.9	1.11
Jamal Shead	45	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	13.8	16.6	-2.78	15.3	14.0	1.29
Ochai Agbaji	59	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.15	-22	10	-32	15.6	14.7	0.90	14.5	14.7	-0.14

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	57	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-3	18	14.5	14.7	-0.15	16.2	14.0	2.22
Chet Holmgren	45	46	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.25	22	-10	32	14.0	15.1	-1.06	15.4	15.1	0.29
Aaron Wiggins	67	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	3	6	14.6	14.4	0.22	15.4	14.9	0.51
Isaiah Joe	52	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	-2	16	14.3	14.9	-0.60	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Jaylin Williams	34	33	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	5	2	15.2	14.2	0.93	14.3	15.8	-1.55
Alex Caruso	42	41	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	1	10	13.8	15.2	-1.38	15.6	15.0	0.62
Jalen Williams	69	67	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	3	6	14.4	14.9	-0.41	15.8	14.1	1.72
Dillon Jones	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	15	-18	15.5	14.4	1.14	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Isaiah Hartenstein	53	53	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	6	0	14.0	15.2	-1.16	16.1	14.3	1.83
Kenrich Williams	36	33	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.39	-11	23	-34	15.8	13.9	1.95	13.8	16.0	-2.20
Alex Ducas	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	21	-30	16.8	14.3	2.43	11.4	15.6	-4.27
Adam Flagler	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	15.5	14.5	0.97	13.7	15.3	-1.67
Branden Carlson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	15.5	14.5	0.97	13.7	15.3	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 75, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
BOS 92, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.2%
VAN 90, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%