NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	75		Excitement	3.5 [1114]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +13.3%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.2 [1031]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -10.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	65%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	3	57%	0.02	2	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	-0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	53%	-0.02	5	-0.08	5	80%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.01	9	82%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	76%	0.13	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	80%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	60%	0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.12	-0.00	0.12	10	86%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	9	32%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.5	28.3	16.5	27.8	2.0	34.0	131.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.4%

DET +2.9%

DET +8.4%

DET +15.8%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.7	83.3	104.3	100.5
season	17.2	16.2		99.4	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.2		92.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.3	17.0	15.6	15.2	16.5
DET	15.3	14.3	17.1	14.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	40	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-18	15	16.5	16.4	0.08	14.1	16.1	-1.96
Ben Handlogten	35	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-13	5	16.1	16.7	-0.55	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Raul Lopez	50	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-15	9	16.0	17.0	-1.03	14.0	16.7	-2.77
Mo Williams	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-15	9	15.0	17.4	-2.38	13.4	16.2	-2.77
Raja Bell	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.12	-11	-10	-1	17.1	16.1	0.98	13.5	16.4	-2.83
Sasha Pavlovic	38	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-11	1	16.2	16.7	-0.46	13.7	16.3	-2.63
Matt Harpring	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-11	1	17.5	15.8	1.76	17.3	13.8	3.49
DeShawn Stevenson	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-10	-1	16.3	16.7	-0.45	16.3	13.7	2.64
Andrei Kirilenko	47	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-11	1	16.4	16.6	-0.15	16.4	13.7	2.70
Carlos Arroyo	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	-6	-9	17.0	16.0	1.03	16.7	14.0	2.77
Greg Ostertag	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	-6	-9	17.1	16.0	1.07	16.7	14.0	2.77

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	71	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.08	22	-1	23	15.6	13.7	1.97	16.8	15.4	1.43
Richard Hamilton	67	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	2	17	15.5	14.2	1.30	16.9	15.3	1.56
Mehmet Okur	52	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	5	11	15.5	14.7	0.77	16.0	17.1	-1.09
Chauncey Billups	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	5	11	15.7	14.1	1.63	16.5	16.4	0.12
Tayshaun Prince	50	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	3	15	16.2	13.9	2.31	16.5	16.5	0.03
Chucky Atkins	48	47	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	14	-7	13.7	16.8	-3.09	15.8	17.3	-1.49
Bob Sura	33	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	19	-17	14.2	15.7	-1.52	16.2	16.6	-0.45
Corliss Williamson	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	17	-13	14.8	15.5	-0.67	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Tremaine Fowlkes	16	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	18	-15	13.9	15.5	-1.59	16.6	16.5	0.15
Darko Milicic	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	13.6	15.4	-1.78	17.4	16.4	1.01
Zeljko Rebraca	4	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	25	-29	14.5	15.2	-0.72	19.6	16.3	3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAC 89, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIL 91, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%