inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 91 Excitement3.9 [828] MVPCarlos Boozer (CHI): +9.7%
Chicago Bulls 110 Comeback1.3 [1019] LVPBrandon Jennings (MIL): -6.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.08-0.000.011162%0.0700.002100%0.01
Beno Udrih0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.010.02562%0.0300.00367%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.010.02564%0.0300.00475%0.01
Jon Leuer0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.000.051164%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jon Brockman0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.01955%0.032-0.034100%0.02
Carlos Delfino-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.10-0.01-0.071229%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03714%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Larry Sanders-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.04825%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.060,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.012043%0.003-0.07667%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.03-0.001277%0.164-0.072100%0.01
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.00-0.03869%0.091-0.0000%0.00
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.02389%0.051-0.00367%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03668%0.072-0.047100%0.03
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02564%0.031-0.02475%-0.01
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.011353%0.063-0.06475%0.00
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.00-0.06617%0.0100.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.020.041262%0.003-0.00250%-0.01
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.020.031068%0.052-0.0520%-0.04
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.0330%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.430.215.822.11.727.2124.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +39.8%
CHI +1.4%
CHI +21.7%
MIL -13.7%
CHI +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCHINBAMILCHINBA
this game14.017.315.6100.0118.3102.8
season14.616.0103.8104.7
opponent15.915.697.0103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.014.812.814.414.0
CHI15.315.218.520.617.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Larry Sanders3941-0.02-0.480.460.10-4-151114.114.00.1217.716.90.80
Beno Udrih4746-0.13-0.370.230.10-8-11314.014.0-0.0218.416.22.20
Mike Dunleavy3333-0.14-0.360.210.15-10-9-113.414.4-1.0219.516.03.50
Jon Brockman2019-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-181714.213.90.3117.217.3-0.13
Luc Mbah a Moute3940-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-12514.213.80.3817.816.90.91
Ersan Ilyasova5253-0.29-0.21-0.070.06-12-7-513.814.2-0.3816.917.8-0.91
Jon Leuer3940-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-12-7-513.814.1-0.2917.317.20.12
Shaun Livingston5153-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.03-11-8-314.413.50.9115.519.6-4.11
Carlos Delfino7173-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.08-11-8-314.014.2-0.2417.316.90.39
Brandon Jennings6467-0.47-0.03-0.440.09-190-1914.113.90.2316.419.5-3.06

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joakim Noah61590.490.010.48-0.1020-12116.019.7-3.8013.814.3-0.47
Carlos Boozer56530.460.040.42-0.011631315.819.5-3.6614.513.31.19
Ronnie Brewer54510.410.090.32-0.00145915.819.3-3.4414.313.60.73
Derrick Rose61590.390.110.29-0.051541116.618.6-2.0413.614.7-1.04
Luol Deng66650.300.200.09-0.09136717.915.72.1413.614.9-1.28
Kyle Korver48480.190.31-0.11-0.04811-317.716.71.0214.014.00.02
John Lucas III28270.110.39-0.28-0.07613-719.116.42.7014.114.00.09
Mike James15160.100.40-0.300.01316-1316.217.5-1.2615.613.71.96
Taj Gibson32340.040.46-0.42-0.08415-1120.015.84.2313.614.2-0.63
Omer Asik32320.010.49-0.480.04-120-2119.716.03.8014.313.80.47
Brian Scalabrine540.000.50-0.500.03-120-2115.817.3-1.5410.714.2-3.41
Jimmy Butler770.000.50-0.500.06-221-2320.017.02.9714.114.00.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 78, MIA 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
SEA 88, NJN 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
CHI 81, PHX 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%