NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	88		Excitement	3.9 [999]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +19.5%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.2 [1115]		LVP	Earl Watson (SEA): -10.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	10	72%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.00	0.06	15	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	14	45%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	38%	-0.07	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mickael Gelabale	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.03	0.00	17	70%	0.23	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	73%	0.12	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	56%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	15	58%	0.09	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	14	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	29.0	14.6	25.5	1.8	30.0	128.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +47.1%

SEA -2.0%

SEA -0.2%

NJN +4.7%

NJN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NJN	NBA	SEA	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.4	92.6	103.1	105.7
season	14.5	15.4		99.1	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.0		107.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.6	14.3	17.1	16.6	15.5
NJN	13.1	13.4	15.0	17.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	30	32	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-19	27	15.0	15.8	-0.85	15.4	14.2	1.14
Mickael Gelabale	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-15	19	13.9	15.9	-1.98	15.4	14.4	1.01
Jeff Green	49	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	15.7	15.4	0.30	13.6	15.8	-2.23
Delonte West	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-11	11	15.1	16.0	-0.98	15.1	14.2	0.90
Damien Wilkins	60	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-8	5	15.4	15.7	-0.31	15.2	13.7	1.47
Nick Collison	50	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-2	-7	16.0	15.0	1.00	14.0	15.4	-1.42
Earl Watson	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	0	-11	16.0	15.1	0.98	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Kurt Thomas	49	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	5	-21	16.0	15.1	0.89	14.4	14.8	-0.35
Johan Petro	61	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-6	1	15.1	16.4	-1.25	14.9	14.1	0.81
Kevin Durant	63	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	8	-27	16.0	14.7	1.34	14.7	14.5	0.22

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-10	31	13.8	16.1	-2.27	15.8	15.1	0.72
Jason Kidd	59	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.05	19	-8	27	13.9	15.7	-1.73	15.8	15.2	0.63
Josh Boone	56	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-3	17	14.3	15.0	-0.75	16.2	14.7	1.43
Sean Williams	44	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	0	11	13.6	15.4	-1.81	14.9	16.0	-1.11
Vince Carter	76	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	3	5	14.7	14.3	0.33	16.2	13.1	3.15
Malik Allen	52	53	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	11	-11	15.4	13.6	1.81	16.0	14.9	1.11
Bostjan Nachbar	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.28	-5	16	-21	15.7	13.4	2.31	14.7	16.6	-1.89
Jason Collins	40	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	14	-17	15.0	14.3	0.75	14.7	16.2	-1.43
Antoine Wright	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	13	-15	11.3	14.7	-3.39	8.0	15.8	-7.79
Darrell Armstrong	37	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	19	-27	15.7	13.9	1.73	15.2	15.8	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 75, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHA 95, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHX 102, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%