inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 75 Excitement3.7 [1095] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +9.9%
San Antonio Spurs 106 Comeback1.4 [1031] LVPZach Randolph (POR): -17.1%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joel Przybilla0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00367%0.0500.00667%-0.01
Martell Webster0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.00-0.00-0.04650%0.0310.0000%0.00
Ruben Patterson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.00-0.07855%0.084-0.06475%0.01
Jarrett Jack0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.030.05960%0.041-0.027100%0.01
Steve Blake0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01558%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Juan Dixon0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.001155%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Charles Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sergei Monia-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04312%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Travis Outlaw-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.041050%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.16-0.02-0.021416%-0.1700.00475%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.020.021068%0.1000.002100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.001460%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.01786%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.01-0.021549%0.072-0.04786%0.02
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02550%0.021-0.0020%-0.04
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00267%0.0010.002100%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.01-0.031342%0.012-0.0100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.080.000.10685%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.000.02362%-0.0210.002100%0.01
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.12-0.00-0.0750%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.529.417.423.52.427.6126.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +18.9%
SAS +2.0%
SAS +17.9%
SAS +7.1%
SAS +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORSASNBAPORSASNBA
this game17.315.915.687.2120.5104.4
season16.616.399.4106.0
opponent15.615.799.4109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.419.618.116.017.3
SAS15.214.716.117.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Smith990.00-0.500.500.32-11-20913.917.6-3.7613.816.1-2.32
Sergei Monia1819-0.01-0.490.480.40-14-17314.917.9-2.9917.115.51.52
Juan Dixon3637-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-302917.716.90.8514.916.6-1.72
Jarrett Jack4647-0.22-0.280.060.46-23-8-1516.118.6-2.4716.515.11.34
Joel Przybilla4746-0.24-0.260.03-0.06-6-251918.515.72.7715.416.4-0.94
Theo Ratliff2527-0.25-0.250.010.11-12-19716.017.8-1.8317.715.02.65
Ruben Patterson3939-0.25-0.250.010.11-12-19717.617.00.6116.815.11.63
Steve Blake4041-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-231518.616.12.4715.116.5-1.34
Martell Webster4851-0.30-0.20-0.100.43-25-6-1916.518.2-1.6216.514.91.63
Zach Randolph4949-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-19718.315.92.3515.516.3-0.75
Travis Outlaw7375-0.46-0.04-0.430.45-310-3117.317.20.0315.219.7-4.49

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili33320.410.090.33-0.051615114.816.5-1.7718.416.61.78
Tony Parker48470.390.110.280.071120-915.416.4-0.9818.116.21.88
Bruce Bowen62600.320.180.14-0.091417-316.015.70.3017.017.8-0.79
Tim Duncan55530.310.190.11-0.051219-715.216.9-1.6717.417.10.27
Robert Horry31300.280.220.06-0.101318-517.714.82.9018.216.81.40
Rasho Nesterovic42420.200.30-0.100.05526-2115.016.7-1.6517.616.90.71
Nazr Mohammed33320.200.30-0.11-0.361912717.115.12.0116.917.5-0.61
Brent Barry29300.140.36-0.21-0.442011915.516.1-0.5716.417.7-1.26
Michael Finley50490.140.36-0.22-0.01526-2116.914.52.3517.716.61.11
Nick Van Exel37370.110.39-0.28-0.482011916.015.80.1916.517.8-1.26
Beno Udrih12110.000.50-0.50-0.321120-915.715.9-0.1313.317.8-4.57
Fabricio Oberto870.000.50-0.50-0.26922-1313.516.1-2.6013.617.6-4.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 102, WAS 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.8%
SEA 88, NJN 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
MIL 91, CHI 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%