inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 92 Excitement4.1 [1036] MVPAustin Daye (DET): +8.8%
Detroit Pistons 104 Comeback1.3 [365] LVPGlen Davis (BOS): -9.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.19-0.010.121682%0.185-0.118100%0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.002100%0.062-0.043100%0.01
Luke Harangody0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Von Wafer0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00260%0.0100.001100%0.01
Marquis Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.02750%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01542%-0.012-0.04250%-0.02
Ray Allen-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.010.00863%0.076-0.123100%0.01
Kevin Garnett-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00333%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Nate Robinson-0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.030.03757%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Glen Davis-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.020.031540%-0.071-0.0200%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.01775%0.111-0.0320%-0.02
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.001070%0.112-0.0500%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.110.020.081175%0.102-0.046100%0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.011453%0.071-0.02683%-0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.03875%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.08-0.000.054100%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.00357%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.04845%0.002-0.02475%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.726.016.625.32.737.0137.6
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +36.7%
BOS -2.4%
DET +1.1%
DET +15.5%
BOS -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDETNBABOSDETNBA
this game15.516.915.5104.5115.6105.7
season15.716.7104.8106.4
opponent15.215.8110.199.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.416.718.613.515.5
DET15.915.317.419.216.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Harangody911-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-121219.115.04.0714.617.2-2.57
Avery Bradley99-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-10818.015.22.8417.816.80.99
Von Wafer2930-0.11-0.390.28-0.172-141614.515.9-1.4516.117.3-1.13
Shaquille O'Neal2930-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-6015.615.40.2517.416.60.77
Kevin Garnett1719-0.16-0.340.190.05-7-5-215.215.5-0.3417.416.70.67
Jermaine O'Neal4344-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-8415.815.20.6115.618.1-2.54
Marquis Daniels4342-0.24-0.260.02-0.04-7-5-216.314.71.5717.216.60.65
Nate Robinson5658-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-7214.317.5-3.1717.216.30.85
Glen Davis6968-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.17-7-5-215.017.3-2.3117.016.50.51
Ray Allen6466-0.39-0.11-0.270.02-142-1615.814.41.4317.216.11.04
Paul Pierce7273-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.12-10-2-815.415.6-0.1317.116.20.88

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace48470.430.070.360.0214-21617.316.40.9116.214.61.67
Tayshaun Prince64630.380.120.260.09102817.216.01.2016.014.21.81
Tracy McGrady55540.370.130.240.051111017.515.91.5515.914.81.12
Ben Gordon63610.310.190.120.1075216.418.0-1.5315.415.5-0.09
Charlie Villanueva50490.290.210.080.0584416.617.2-0.6017.213.24.04
Richard Hamilton50480.230.27-0.030.1539-617.216.50.6614.816.3-1.50
Chris Wilcox54530.140.36-0.210.14012-1216.317.8-1.5313.817.9-4.04
Will Bynum24240.120.38-0.260.0339-616.617.0-0.3614.016.0-2.00
Greg Monroe18180.120.38-0.260.06210-816.816.9-0.1414.815.6-0.78
Austin Daye24230.110.39-0.270.06210-816.617.0-0.3614.815.7-0.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 90, DAL 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,196.5%
SAS 96, MIN 1060.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.5%
NJN 102, OKC 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.9,195.4%