NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	102		Excitement	4.7 [861]		MVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): +18.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Comeback	1.1 [1254]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -15.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.07	0.14	-0.03	0.03	10	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Terrence Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.03	-0.01	0.05	20	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	9	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.01	0.02	16	77%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	21	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	6	29%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	7	55%	0.03	9	-0.19	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	24.6	16.0	26.5	1.8	32.4	130.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +39.7%

OKC +0.8%

OKC +14.6%

NJN -5.6%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	OKC	NBA	NJN	OKC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	15.3	107.4	108.3	106.0
season	15.9	15.0		98.7	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		103.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.8	16.8	17.4	13.8	16.4
OKC	11.8	16.7	12.6	14.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	25	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-7	12	18.7	15.6	3.13	15.3	13.2	2.14
Jarvis Hayes	49	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.51	15	-17	32	15.4	17.5	-2.11	15.6	11.9	3.70
Josh Boone	50	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	0	-2	16.6	16.2	0.44	13.1	14.5	-1.34
Terrence Williams	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-10	18	16.4	16.4	0.02	14.5	12.5	2.05
Kris Humphries	41	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	8	-18	19.0	14.4	4.60	15.5	12.4	3.01
Trenton Hassell	38	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	12	-26	16.9	16.1	0.85	12.2	14.8	-2.61
Courtney Lee	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-1	0	15.5	18.1	-2.59	12.7	16.0	-3.31
Devin Harris	70	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	5	-12	15.6	18.7	-3.13	13.2	15.3	-2.14
Brook Lopez	79	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	2	-6	16.0	18.4	-2.44	13.2	16.4	-3.21

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	85	85	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-11	24	13.1	18.9	-5.81	16.3	17.1	-0.77
Thabo Sefolosha	66	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-14	30	12.7	16.1	-3.40	16.0	17.4	-1.34
Russell Westbrook	73	72	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-5	12	12.7	17.0	-4.32	15.7	18.7	-3.02
Nenad Krstic	61	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	-5	12	12.6	15.7	-3.07	15.4	18.0	-2.56
Jeff Green	83	82	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.50	-4	6	-10	13.7	14.2	-0.54	15.7	20.7	-4.96
Nick Collison	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	-2	6	15.5	12.6	2.84	18.4	15.1	3.31
Serge Ibaka	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	10	-18	15.3	13.0	2.33	17.8	15.7	2.07
Eric Maynor	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	7	-12	17.0	12.7	4.32	18.7	15.7	3.02
Kyle Weaver	19	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.35	-20	22	-42	18.3	12.6	5.68	18.1	16.1	1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 114, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
BOS 92, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%
WAS 94, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%