NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	3.8 [835]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): +13.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	1.4 [299]		LVP	DeJuan Blair (SAS): -12.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.01	10	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
T.J. Ford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
James Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	9	30%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	6	117%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	10	79%	0.17	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	-0.06	15	59%	0.12	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	15	69%	0.17	6	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	8	37%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.7	27.1	15.3	27.6	1.5	28.4	123.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +58.7%

SAS -2.5%

MIN +8.1%

SAS -15.7%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	17.0	15.6	106.7	119.1	102.8
season	15.3	15.3		109.1	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.7	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.8	14.9	17.8	13.5	15.2
MIN	14.6	16.4	16.5	20.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	24	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-13	16	15.5	15.1	0.32	18.9	16.3	2.58
Danny Green	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-15	20	14.4	15.6	-1.19	20.3	15.3	4.96
Manu Ginobili	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-5	0	15.4	15.2	0.25	15.6	17.5	-1.84
Kawhi Leonard	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-8	6	15.2	15.2	-0.02	15.8	17.6	-1.80
Tiago Splitter	34	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-6	2	15.5	15.1	0.45	18.7	15.8	2.88
Tony Parker	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-7	4	15.1	15.5	-0.37	17.0	16.9	0.15
T.J. Ford	33	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	15.5	15.1	0.37	16.9	17.0	-0.15
DeJuan Blair	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	15.1	15.5	-0.45	15.8	18.7	-2.88
Richard Jefferson	64	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-5	0	14.8	16.2	-1.36	17.2	16.5	0.66
James Anderson	40	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	1	-12	15.9	14.6	1.31	16.7	17.2	-0.48
Tim Duncan	55	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	5	-20	15.4	14.9	0.46	15.7	19.1	-3.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	80	82	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	0	10	17.0	16.8	0.21	15.3	14.6	0.66
Michael Beasley	81	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	0	10	16.8	18.7	-1.96	15.0	18.0	-3.05
Darko Milicic	42	42	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-9	28	15.2	18.5	-3.27	16.2	14.4	1.77
Luke Ridnour	67	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	16.9	17.1	-0.17	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Wesley Johnson	57	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	3	4	15.7	19.2	-3.42	16.0	14.0	2.00
Ricky Rubio	42	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	9	-8	18.9	15.2	3.72	14.3	16.1	-1.81
Wayne Ellington	12	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	4	2	16.2	17.1	-0.92	15.3	15.2	0.10
Derrick Williams	21	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	12	-14	18.0	16.6	1.35	15.4	15.2	0.23
Anthony Tolliver	43	44	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	17	-24	18.4	15.6	2.85	14.6	15.8	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NYK 81, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
VAN 90, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%