NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	81		Excitement	4.3 [949]		MVP	Nerlens Noel (PHI): +21.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	1.3 [923]		LVP	Langston Galloway (NYK): -12.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexey Shved	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	-0.01	0.03	14	83%	0.18	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	65%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	57%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.02
Quincy Acy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Travis Wear	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.02	-0.07	8	12%	-0.06	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	14	66%	0.22	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.02	-0.04	11	58%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	16	47%	-0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	26.2	15.6	30.4	3.6	32.4	139.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.9%

PHI +2.0%

PHI +13.3%

PHI +18.4%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.0	15.1	84.4	102.1	104.2
season	16.1	14.9		98.5	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.0		103.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	15.0	15.3	14.7	15.1
PHI	13.4	16.3	12.8	18.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	45	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-15	14	15.3	14.9	0.39	14.2	15.6	-1.49
Lou Amundson	32	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-11	6	16.2	14.6	1.69	14.1	15.5	-1.38
Travis Wear	59	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-9	2	15.0	15.3	-0.24	15.2	14.7	0.55
Cole Aldrich	11	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-7	-2	14.7	15.2	-0.45	19.5	14.5	5.00
Andrea Bargnani	54	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-9	2	14.8	15.5	-0.67	14.2	16.2	-1.96
Jason Smith	37	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-7	-2	15.2	15.1	0.06	16.9	13.8	3.05
Lance Thomas	38	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-9	2	14.4	15.6	-1.25	15.3	14.9	0.44
Shane Larkin	66	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	15.0	15.3	-0.25	15.6	13.9	1.67
Alexey Shved	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-9	2	14.9	15.8	-0.97	14.7	15.9	-1.15
Langston Galloway	67	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	3	-22	15.6	14.1	1.51	14.4	16.6	-2.23

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	1	14	16.5	13.3	3.16	15.6	14.4	1.24
Isaiah Canaan	38	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	-1	18	15.7	14.6	1.09	16.1	14.5	1.58
Robert Covington	59	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	4	8	15.2	14.7	0.54	15.2	15.0	0.20
Nerlens Noel	63	65	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	9	-2	14.8	15.5	-0.75	14.8	15.8	-0.96
Jason Richardson	36	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	6	4	15.7	14.6	1.02	15.1	15.1	0.02
Furkan Aldemir	32	31	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	7	2	15.5	14.8	0.75	15.8	14.8	0.96
Hollis Thompson	45	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	12	-8	13.6	16.3	-2.64	15.6	14.8	0.78
Jerami Grant	40	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	14	-12	13.7	16.0	-2.30	14.8	15.3	-0.47
JaKarr Sampson	53	55	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	13	-10	15.2	14.9	0.27	14.4	16.1	-1.78
Ish Smith	57	58	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	15	-14	14.6	15.7	-1.09	14.5	16.1	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SEA 101, SAC 122	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAS 96, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%