NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	90		Excitement	4.0 [980]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +10.7%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.1 [836]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -10.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	65%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Bryant Reeves	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Chris Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	90%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	62%	0.01	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	14	47%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	39%	-0.02	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	19	65%	0.13	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	13	69%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	13	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.03	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	12	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.0	25.0	15.8	23.2	1.8	27.0	116.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.9%

VAN -10.4%

DAL +6.0%

DAL +25.2%

DAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DAL	NBA	VAN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	16.9	15.6	101.1	116.9	102.5
season	15.1	15.8		101.3	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		104.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.8	14.5	17.3	16.9	15.5
DAL	15.0	15.5	16.2	21.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Robinson	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-14	14	16.0	15.4	0.63	21.4	15.9	5.56
George Lynch	40	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-13	12	15.4	15.6	-0.15	17.7	16.1	1.59
Pete Chilcutt	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-9	4	16.7	14.9	1.84	16.5	17.0	-0.55
Antonio Daniels	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-8	2	14.1	17.8	-3.76	16.4	17.6	-1.16
Blue Edwards	41	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-8	2	16.8	14.3	2.50	17.8	16.2	1.59
Sam Mack	48	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	14.3	16.8	-2.50	15.9	18.2	-2.33
Lee Mayberry	33	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	17.8	14.1	3.76	17.6	16.4	1.16
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	65	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	14.6	17.8	-3.16	16.5	18.0	-1.52
Bryant Reeves	72	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-4	-6	15.5	15.6	-0.13	16.7	17.5	-0.87
Otis Thorpe	45	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	3	-20	15.8	15.1	0.73	16.0	17.9	-1.90

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	80	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-3	20	16.6	18.9	-2.24	15.6	14.4	1.16
Dennis Scott	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	1	12	16.3	17.6	-1.32	16.2	14.5	1.61
A.C. Green	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	6	2	16.7	17.5	-0.81	14.6	18.0	-3.39
Hubert Davis	80	79	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	7	0	17.0	15.3	1.72	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Eric Riley	39	40	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	5	4	18.6	15.5	3.10	17.7	13.7	3.98
Shawn Bradley	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	8	-2	15.6	18.1	-2.49	13.9	17.1	-3.22
Khalid Reeves	26	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	11	-8	17.7	16.6	1.10	14.8	15.8	-0.96
Erick Strickland	46	46	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	11	-8	17.7	16.0	1.65	15.7	15.2	0.48
Chris Anstey	11	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	10	-6	14.8	17.2	-2.35	16.4	15.4	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 72, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
UTA 95, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%