NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	4.0 [1023]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): +15.2%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.4 [1024]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -8.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	11	73%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	15	64%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	39%	0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.01	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.04	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	12	53%	0.00	4	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Keith McLeod	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	5	-0.11	8	62%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.03	-0.04	13	61%	0.15	1	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	13	55%	0.10	2	-0.03	14	100%	0.05
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	12	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	72%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	12	50%	0.08	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	0.8	32.4	17.4	28.6	2.4	34.5	141.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -3.7%

DAL +24.7%

DAL +17.7%

DAL +9.7%

DAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.6	106.7	122.0	104.4
season	17.0	16.4		101.7	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.0		102.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.8	17.3	14.6	16.4	15.7
DAL	15.2	17.8	13.7	19.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-18	20	15.1	15.7	-0.55	15.7	16.4	-0.68
Greg Ostertag	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-18	20	15.8	15.6	0.14	16.5	16.3	0.16
Kris Humphries	34	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-17	18	14.6	16.3	-1.72	15.5	16.9	-1.39
Keith McLeod	20	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-13	10	17.0	15.3	1.74	18.9	15.6	3.33
Mehmet Okur	61	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-13	10	15.7	15.5	0.17	16.8	15.5	1.25
Matt Harpring	40	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-7	-2	17.0	14.6	2.40	16.7	16.1	0.58
Jarron Collins	28	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-7	-2	15.6	15.7	-0.01	18.0	15.5	2.57
Andrei Kirilenko	48	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-6	-4	14.3	17.2	-2.91	16.4	16.2	0.18
Deron Williams	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-3	-10	15.3	17.0	-1.74	15.6	18.9	-3.33
Devin Brown	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-1	-14	16.5	14.3	2.20	16.8	15.6	1.20
Carlos Boozer	66	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	7	-30	15.7	15.7	-0.00	15.0	20.0	-5.03

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	59	59	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-4	24	15.5	17.8	-2.32	15.9	15.2	0.73
Jason Terry	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	0	16	15.8	18.0	-2.28	16.1	14.4	1.65
DeSagana Diop	45	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	3	10	16.6	16.0	0.60	16.4	14.9	1.54
Dirk Nowitzki	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	6	4	16.2	16.7	-0.45	15.3	16.7	-1.33
Jerry Stackhouse	49	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	9	-2	16.8	15.8	1.07	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Josh Powell	31	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	9	-2	16.7	16.1	0.61	15.3	15.8	-0.58
Erick Dampier	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.02	4	12	-8	15.9	16.7	-0.84	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Marquis Daniels	7	7	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	11	-6	17.9	16.2	1.64	24.7	14.9	9.84
Adrian Griffin	56	55	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	17	-18	16.5	16.0	0.51	15.1	16.6	-1.47
Darrell Armstrong	23	22	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	16	-16	18.0	15.8	2.28	14.4	16.1	-1.65
DJ Mbenga	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	17.4	16.3	1.12	15.7	15.6	0.10
Rawle Marshall	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	15.0	16.4	-1.37	8.0	15.7	-7.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIN 90, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
VAN 90, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%