NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	72		Excitement	4.0 [1075]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +14.9%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	1.1 [1276]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -13.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	6	85%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	16	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sundiata Gaines	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Solomon Alabi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	20%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Julian Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	14	34%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	21	56%	0.17	1	-0.02	13	54%	-0.07
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	36%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.05	7	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.13	0.01	0.18	16	64%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	25.5	2.8	26.2	128.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +25.4%

ORL +7.5%

ORL +15.4%

ORL +2.8%

TOR -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.6	15.5	78.3	123.1	105.7
season	15.1	15.2		104.7	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.1	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.3	17.2	17.2	17.5	16.8
ORL	16.0	15.5	15.5	12.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Alabi	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.44	-15	-25	10	16.7	16.9	-0.18	11.8	15.4	-3.64
Amir Johnson	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-40	40	16.9	16.8	0.15	17.5	13.4	4.13
Sundiata Gaines	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.48	-18	-22	4	18.1	16.1	1.99	13.4	15.4	-1.96
Julian Wright	52	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.53	-22	-18	-4	17.1	16.4	0.67	14.0	15.4	-1.33
Ed Davis	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.43	-20	-20	0	16.5	17.1	-0.62	14.2	15.1	-0.87
Jerryd Bayless	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.48	-22	-18	-4	16.4	17.3	-0.91	13.6	15.7	-2.04
Joey Dorsey	27	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-29	18	16.9	16.8	0.14	15.4	14.3	1.04
Linas Kleiza	42	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.36	-23	-17	-6	16.9	16.8	0.14	15.4	13.9	1.53
Jose Calderon	53	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	-20	0	16.5	17.2	-0.70	15.3	13.7	1.55
Andrea Bargnani	54	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.26	-25	-15	-10	16.8	16.8	-0.03	14.5	14.8	-0.22
DeMar DeRozan	58	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.23	-24	-16	-8	16.6	17.2	-0.60	15.2	13.7	1.44

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	47	46	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.01	20	20	0	15.3	13.9	1.45	16.7	16.9	-0.17
Jason Richardson	53	53	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.05	21	19	2	15.3	13.7	1.55	16.1	17.9	-1.82
Dwight Howard	57	57	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.05	19	21	-2	15.1	13.8	1.30	16.5	17.4	-0.97
Brandon Bass	58	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.34	24	16	8	15.0	14.0	1.00	17.1	16.3	0.81
Hedo Turkoglu	44	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.43	24	16	8	15.5	13.8	1.76	17.6	16.0	1.53
Ryan Anderson	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.66	27	13	14	14.7	14.6	0.12	17.0	16.7	0.28
JJ Redick	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.41	17	23	-6	15.8	13.6	2.22	17.2	16.5	0.72
Gilbert Arenas	39	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.44	17	23	-6	14.5	14.8	-0.31	16.6	17.0	-0.39
Chris Duhon	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	32	-24	11.4	15.4	-3.97	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Jason Williams	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	33	-26	11.2	15.1	-3.86	17.5	16.7	0.76
Earl Clark	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	30	-20	11.8	15.3	-3.56	16.7	16.9	-0.15
Quentin Richardson	21	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.23	6	34	-28	11.7	15.5	-3.80	17.2	16.7	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 90, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 98, UTA 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
PHI 95, POR 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%