NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	3.7 [1092]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +26.6%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	1.2 [1084]		LVP	Mike James (TOR): -9.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	16	63%	0.14	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	86%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	12	75%	0.01
Mike James	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	0.07	8	65%	-0.02	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.21	0.05	-0.00	17	72%	0.27	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	13	60%	0.11	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Robert Whaley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	12	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	28.1	16.4	25.5	2.7	28.5	129.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.7%

UTA +4.5%

UTA +2.5%

UTA +14.7%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	18.2	15.6	110.1	124.7	104.4
season	15.6	17.0		107.3	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.6	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.8	13.7	14.6	12.8	14.2
UTA	17.7	17.7	18.8	18.5	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	17	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-13	13	15.6	13.9	1.73	17.2	18.4	-1.19
Jose Calderon	42	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-12	11	13.0	15.2	-2.21	17.1	19.1	-1.99
Charlie Villanueva	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-11	9	13.4	14.5	-1.02	17.0	18.6	-1.61
Rafael Araujo	23	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-6	-1	16.4	13.4	3.03	18.8	18.0	0.78
Joey Graham	22	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-6	-1	17.2	13.2	3.97	18.8	18.0	0.78
Matt Bonner	56	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-11	9	13.0	16.2	-3.12	17.4	19.5	-2.12
Jalen Rose	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-7	1	13.2	17.2	-3.97	18.0	18.8	-0.78
Morris Peterson	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	14.7	13.2	1.48	18.6	17.1	1.52
Chris Bosh	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	-1	-11	14.5	12.7	1.75	18.6	16.1	2.45
Mike James	60	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	4	-21	14.3	14.0	0.28	19.1	16.1	3.06

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	69	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-2	17	18.9	15.8	3.06	14.0	14.7	-0.66
Andrei Kirilenko	85	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	0	13	18.4	14.0	4.36	14.4	11.0	3.38
Gordan Giricek	47	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	1	11	18.8	17.5	1.36	14.9	13.4	1.49
Keith McLeod	43	43	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.00	13	0	13	18.3	18.1	0.21	15.2	13.2	1.97
Greg Ostertag	27	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	3	7	18.0	18.3	-0.30	16.0	13.4	2.59
Robert Whaley	32	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	9	-5	17.1	18.8	-1.73	14.3	14.1	0.13
Devin Brown	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	13	-13	18.1	18.3	-0.21	13.2	15.2	-1.97
Deron Williams	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	13	-13	18.1	18.3	-0.21	13.2	15.2	-1.97
Matt Harpring	48	48	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	14	-15	17.0	19.5	-2.49	13.6	14.9	-1.36
Milt Palacio	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	14	-15	21.5	18.1	3.41	5.5	14.4	-8.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, POR 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 80, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAL 81, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%