NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	3.6 [1058]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +8.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	1.4 [1181]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (PHI): -12.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	59%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Michael Cage	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.07	7	73%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Don MacLean	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	14	35%	-0.04	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	19	54%	-0.02	4	-0.03	8	37%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	0.00	11	47%	-0.05	3	-0.06	12	83%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	12	19%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	12	63%	0.11	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	64%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.02	13	69%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	69%	0.10	7	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	48%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	23.2	18.0	27.2	2.5	29.7	126.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.2%

POR +3.4%

POR +3.9%

PHI -2.0%

PHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	14.8	15.6	94.1	110.9	104.4
season	14.7	15.5		101.4	105.2
opponent	15.5	14.7		101.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	18.4	14.1	9.7	13.7
POR	15.7	15.9	15.3	13.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	27	27	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-19	21	12.5	14.1	-1.63	14.5	14.9	-0.44
Rex Walters	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-15	13	22.4	13.1	9.36	18.1	14.6	3.59
Michael Cage	25	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-15	13	11.8	14.3	-2.54	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Don MacLean	57	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-11	5	11.8	16.2	-4.37	14.4	15.3	-0.83
Mark Davis	48	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-10	3	10.8	16.3	-5.53	13.8	15.7	-1.87
Jerry Stackhouse	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-10	3	13.4	14.6	-1.22	14.0	17.1	-3.06
Clar. Weatherspoon	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-4	-9	15.9	10.5	5.47	16.2	12.7	3.57
Scott Williams	58	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-2	-13	15.8	11.0	4.81	15.9	13.2	2.66
Allen Iverson	94	94	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	-2	-13	13.1	22.4	-9.36	14.6	18.1	-3.59
Derrick Coleman	54	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	3	-23	15.6	11.6	3.96	14.6	15.0	-0.46

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	82	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-1	19	14.9	14.4	0.47	13.9	13.1	0.80
Clifford Robinson	70	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-1	19	15.4	13.5	1.90	14.5	11.8	2.72
Arvydas Sabonis	44	43	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	-4	25	15.2	14.5	0.63	16.1	11.9	4.23
Rasheed Wallace	67	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	4	9	14.3	15.9	-1.63	13.9	13.4	0.46
Isaiah Rider	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	0	17	14.5	15.3	-0.82	14.2	12.9	1.28
Gary Trent	48	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	16	-15	16.1	13.6	2.56	13.0	14.4	-1.34
Marcus Brown	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	14	-11	14.5	14.9	-0.35	13.3	13.9	-0.55
Chris Dudley	30	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	17	-17	15.5	14.5	0.95	13.4	13.9	-0.49
Rumeal Robinson	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	8.9	15.5	-6.55	8.1	14.3	-6.15
Stacey Augmon	45	44	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	23	-29	14.4	15.1	-0.77	11.5	15.4	-3.88
Jermaine O'Neal	19	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	18	-19	14.4	14.9	-0.47	13.1	13.9	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, UTA 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
ATL 96, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
TOR 72, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%