inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 96 Excitement3.9 [998] MVPTom Gugliotta (MIN): +10.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves 113 Comeback1.5 [697] LVPSteven Smith (ATL): -16.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.020.041174%0.101-0.021100%0.00
Alan Henderson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.021661%0.0500.001275%-0.01
Chucky Brown0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.02743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Crawford0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.031100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Drew Barry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Greg Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Anthony Miller-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Mookie Blaylock-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.031553%0.064-0.09683%0.02
Tyrone Corbin-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.03950%0.044-0.0900%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.100,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.03-0.02536%-0.042-0.06475%-0.00
Steven Smith-0.170,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.04-0.011622%-0.141-0.0200%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.021768%0.133-0.034100%0.03
Chris Carr0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.030.03-0.071341%0.0700.003100%0.01
Stanley Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.013100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.01-0.00861%0.0500.00250%0.00
Reggie Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.00667%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.02450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tom Hammonds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.05325%0.0100.002100%0.01
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.000.051062%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06550%0.023-0.022100%0.00
Doug West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.001751%0.024-0.11786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.11.728.116.424.42.425.6120.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +34.6%
MIN +7.7%
ATL -3.5%
MIN +11.4%
ATL -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMINNBAATLMINNBA
this game15.914.615.6102.1118.9102.5
season16.114.8105.3105.3
opponent15.716.0104.9101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.917.814.914.315.9
MIN14.414.315.114.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Miller870.00-0.500.50-0.124-212513.616.1-2.4916.914.42.46
Chris Crawford780.00-0.500.50-0.062-19217.716.6-8.8511.514.9-3.36
Drew Barry660.00-0.500.50-0.093-20238.816.4-7.5511.314.8-3.46
Chucky Brown3736-0.04-0.460.43-0.154-212516.515.50.9614.914.40.45
Greg Anderson1818-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-171713.916.4-2.4912.815.0-2.15
Eldridge Recasner5251-0.20-0.300.100.04-8-9115.816.0-0.1714.314.9-0.66
Mookie Blaylock7374-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-6-515.617.1-1.5315.212.23.01
Alan Henderson5858-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-6-516.015.70.3413.716.0-2.33
Dikembe Mutombo5457-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.10-7-10317.014.42.5814.614.50.09
Tyrone Corbin4141-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-2-1316.515.51.0315.613.81.77
Christian Laettner5455-0.43-0.07-0.360.24-236-2915.616.2-0.6015.213.71.48
Steven Smith6264-0.530.03-0.550.15-236-2917.313.24.0214.414.9-0.43

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tom Gugliotta77760.500.000.50-0.1221-42514.714.20.4415.517.5-1.97
Kevin Garnett61590.450.050.40-0.1420-32314.414.9-0.4316.814.42.35
Chris Carr51500.430.070.350.04134914.414.8-0.4515.616.3-0.69
Stephon Marbury70680.390.110.29-0.051521315.113.11.9815.516.8-1.30
Cherokee Parks32320.230.27-0.04-0.0398112.615.6-3.0416.115.80.29
Stanley Roberts32310.200.30-0.09-0.00710-316.313.72.6616.115.80.24
Terry Porter39400.120.38-0.26-0.09710-314.114.9-0.9015.815.9-0.09
Sam Mitchell35370.110.39-0.290.13-118-1915.614.01.6216.815.31.45
Doug West20190.070.43-0.360.07017-1712.615.1-2.5112.716.7-4.04
Tom Hammonds36360.010.49-0.470.04-118-1915.014.30.6316.315.70.65
Reggie Jordan2222-0.010.51-0.520.14-522-2714.414.6-0.2817.015.61.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 90, DAL 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%
PHI 95, POR 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.8%
ORL 105, BOS 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%